AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New)

4.6 142 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.09
+3.45%
Last month
$ 0.8
+42.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.57
+31.25%
In a quarter
$ 2.44
-10.29%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
59% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1264 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New)
Gallery
AWP | Arsenic Spill inspecting AWP | Arsenic Spill reloading AWP | Arsenic Spill holding AWP | Arsenic Spill pose-1 AWP | Arsenic Spill pose-2 AWP | Arsenic Spill pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.7
  • 24h price change: 3.45%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.61
  • 7 days high: $ 52.7
  • 7 days price change: 3.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.9
  • 30 days high: $ 384
  • 30 days price change: 42.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.9
  • 90 days high: $ 384
  • Year low: $ 1.9
  • Year high: $ 2 579
  • All time low: $ 1.9
  • All time high: $ 2 579
  • All time max offers: 1469
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 151
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1131
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4678
  • Sales for last 90 days: 12918
  • All time sales: 31689
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.56
  • Volatility: 11.35%
  • Liquidity: 45.2%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.57
  • Price forecast change in a month: 31.25%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.44
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -10.29%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.06
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.92
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.92
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 3.47
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.45
-11.48%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.68
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.28
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.97
42.54%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.06
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.8
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.49
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.57
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.74
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 4.5
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 3.92
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.92
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 3.47
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.45
-11.48%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.68
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.28
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.97
42.54%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.52
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.2
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
59%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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Description

The AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) exudes danger with its toxic green accents and sleek design, making it a coveted choice for skilled snipers in CS2. Its lethal precision and striking appearance make it a formidable weapon on the battlefield, leaving a trail of devastation in its wake.

History

History

The AWP | Arsenic Spill made its debut in CS2 on March 31st, 2025, as part of the "Toxic Collection" update. Since its release, it has become a highly sought-after skin due to its unique design and factory new condition.

Origin

Origin

The AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) was introduced as part of the Gamma Case collection in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. Players can obtain this skin by opening Gamma Cases or purchasing it from the Steam Community Market.

Popularity

Popularity

The AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) is highly sought after in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 95% due to its sleek design and rarity. This skin is considered one of the most coveted items in the game, with its popularity determined by factors such as daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The AWP | Arsenic Spill is among the 146 available Sniper Rifle skins in CS2. Classified as a Restricted Grade skin, the Arsenic Spill is a moderately rare drop with an approximate drop chance of 20.08%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $200 and $400, the AWP | Arsenic Spill in Factory New condition is a premium skin choice for CS2 players. Despite its higher cost, this skin is readily accessible on various online platforms, ensuring players have ample opportunities to add it to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The AWP | Arsenic Spill in Factory New condition has a float value between 0.00 and 0.07, ensuring a clean and pristine appearance. This skin does not have any StatTrak or Souvenir versions in CS2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) has garnered significant attention within the CS2 community, with a high number of votes on addskins.gg resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin has also caught the eye of professional player vice, who is among its owners, further solidifying its popularity and desirability.

Finish style

Finish style

The AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) features a "Hydrographic" finish, where weapon parts are lowered through a floating hydrographic film on a water tank to apply the pattern. This skin predominantly showcases shades of gray, with the appearance of the Arsenic Spill finish varying based on its pattern index, all presented on the new CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 3.57 (31.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.44 (-10.29%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All sniper rifle