AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)

4.8 115160 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.31
+4.51%
Last month
$ 2.48
+52.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.83
-0.73%
In a quarter
$ 7.14
+3.78%
In half a year
$ 8.95
+30.09%
In a year
$ 13.23
+92.3%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
84% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
748 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)
Gallery
AWP | Black Nile inspecting AWP | Black Nile reloading AWP | Black Nile holding AWP | Black Nile pose-1 AWP | Black Nile pose-2 AWP | Black Nile pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.19
  • 24h price change: 4.51%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.88
  • 7 days high: $ 3 830
  • 7 days price change: 4.51%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.71
  • 30 days high: $ 4 680
  • 30 days price change: 52.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.71
  • 90 days high: $ 4 680
  • Year low: $ 4.08
  • Year high: $ 4 680
  • All time low: $ 2.73
  • All time high: $ 4 680
  • All time max offers: 1332
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 99
  • Sales for last 7 days: 759
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3085
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7571
  • All time sales: 23138
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.41
  • Volatility: 12.29%
  • Liquidity: 11.71%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.14
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.78%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.95
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 30.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.23
  • Price forecast change in a year: 92.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.13
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.13
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.37
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.39
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.29
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.52
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 7.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.98
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.32
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.13
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
8684
143140
115112
458447
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 5/30
  • Damage: 115
  • Spread: 0.2
  • Rate of fire: 41
  • Movement speed: 200
  • Kill reward: $ 100
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Atheris
Factory New
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From last month
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Description

AWP | Black Nile is just one of the intimidating pieces in CS2. It rewards high-risk, high-reward gameplay with its lethal one-shot-one-kill capability and extremely distinctive gunshot sound. The custom paint job has grooves like those on a topographical map, producing a stunning visual display and immersive experience. Bleeding between the lines ramps up the intensity of each kill.

History

History

The AWP | Black Nile was released to the CS2 community on April 24th, 2023, included in the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package upon the "Anubis Skins" update. This skin, designed by the talented community designer "SayChains," was highly sought-after for its excellent detailing and pristine Factory New condition.

Origin

Origin

The AWP | Black Nile is one of the most sought-after skins in CS2, which can be obtained by opening container cases of the Anubis Collection Package and a container package of the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This skin is one of the pride items in the prestigious Anubis Collection, featuring an intricate design and thus making it a rare find.

Popularity

Popularity

The AWP | Black Nile-Factory New is an extremely popular skin in CS2, with 95% popularity in the community, hence one of the most sought-after skins in the game. This exceptional popularity is decided by the skin's remarkable daily volume and its continually overriding price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

Among 125 Sniper Rifle skins existing in CS: GO, the AWP | Black Nile occupies a proud place. It has Mil-Spec Grade rareness, which makes it rather widely available, and the drop chance is estimated at 79.92%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of AWP | Black Nile ranges from pristine 0.00 to slightly worn 0.75, which means it's available in all possible exteriors. Also, each exterior that was added to the Black Nile could be found in a souvenir version for collectors to make their collection truly special.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The AWP | Black Nile is one of the most admired skins in the CS2 community, as it received an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, with over 115 votes. Its popularity is more authenticated as it is found in the inventories of famous professional players like davey, boltz, and daps.

Finish style

Finish style

This factory-new AWP | Black Nile in CS2 sports a "Gunsmith" style complemented by a Black Nile finish, finding an alluring marriage between patina and artful paint applications. The mostly gray-colored parts remain identical on all pattern indexes to ensure that there will not be any variation of patterns that may affect the Black Nile finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 6.83 (-0.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.14 (3.78%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.95 (30.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.23 (92.3%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All sniper rifle