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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The AWP | Black Nile is a quite powerful gun in CS2, with a high risk and reward since it is able to kill with one shot; it also has a very distinctive sound. Its custom paint resembles grooves on a topographic map and has a really unique, bleeding color effect that makes the gun quite compelling.
The AWP | Black Nile first appeared in CS2 on April 24th, 2023, after being added to the highly anticipated Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This skin, crafted by one of the most talented community designers-"SayChains"-in no time gained popularity among players thanks to its detailed Egyptian pattern and worn-looking aesthetic.
This worn-out skin design for the AWP | Black Nile can be obtained by opening a container that contains either an Anubis Collection Package or a Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This is one of the most desired additions in the Anubis Collection because it tells about its history and uniqueness of design.
It is pretty famous; the popularity rate for AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) is 95%. That means it is included in the top ten most wanted skins within CS2. Demand is huge, and one can easily confirm this by a big sales volume day after day, with a price maintaining it on the premium level among all possible options.
The AWP | Black Nile holds a place among 125 other Sniper Rifle skins and is considered fairly common in CS2. According to the only estimation available, the drop rate is 79.92%, making this skin Mil-Spec Grade because of its rarity.
The float value of the AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) falls in the range of 0.38-0.45; by that stage in its development, light abrasions already begin to appear and can be seen. This is well and truly available in all exteriors, meaning a player can enjoy the skin's unique design whatever his preference might be. Secondly, for collectors, one will find in each exterior a souvenir version of the AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn). This gives that special touch of nostalgia from when one tries to find a piece of CS2 history.
The AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) gathered some serious community support; it has over 115 votes on addskins.gg with an outstanding average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Even esteemed professional CS2 players like davey, boltz, and daps have favored this highly demanded skin and, therefore, are well-regarded as one of the desirable skins in the community.
This well-worn AWP | Black Nile features a "Gunsmith" finish, marrying patina with bespoke painting styles in a palette dominated by grays. The Black Nile finish is identical across pattern indexes, adding even more refinement to this somber sniper rifle.
According to the forecast, the price of the AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 2.71 (-1.45%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.75 (0.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 3.21 (16.73%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.21 (89.45%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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