AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)

4.5 5760 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 903
+7.81%
Last month
$ 1 954
+18.59%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 12 595
-0.93%
In a quarter
$ 12 212
-3.95%
In half a year
$ 11 405
-10.29%
In a year
$ 14 561
+14.53%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
67 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)
Gallery
AWP | Dragon Lore inspecting AWP | Dragon Lore reloading AWP | Dragon Lore holding AWP | Dragon Lore pose-1 AWP | Dragon Lore pose-2 AWP | Dragon Lore pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 12 463
  • 7 days low: $ 11 560
  • 7 days high: $ 117 114
  • 7 days price change: 7.81%
  • 30 days low: $ 10 509
  • 30 days high: $ 117 989
  • 30 days price change: 18.59%
  • 90 days low: $ 10 509
  • 90 days high: $ 118 585
  • Year low: $ 2 329
  • Year high: $ 3 449 900
  • All time low: $ 2 329
  • All time high: $ 3 449 900
  • All time max offers: 103
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 42
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0358
  • Volatility: 21.06%
  • Liquidity: 4.27%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 12 595
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.93%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 12 212
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.95%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 11 405
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -10.29%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 14 561
  • Price forecast change in a year: 14.53%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 13 367
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5 071
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5 071
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 12 852
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7 781
153.45%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 13 904
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 13 333
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 13 530
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 13 610
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 13 500
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 13 053
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 13 367
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 13 674
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5 071
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5 071
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 12 852
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7 781
153.45%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 13 904
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 13 333
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 13 638
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 13 470
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 13 530
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 13 610
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 13 500
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 13 500
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14 020
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14 521
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13 053
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12 970
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 7 781
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5 071
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
8684
143140
115112
458447
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 5/30
  • Damage: 115
  • Spread: 0.2
  • Rate of fire: 41
  • Movement speed: 200
  • Kill reward: $ 100
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The AWP | Dragon Lore Factory New acts as both a danger and reward in CS2 due to the fact that such powerful shots can kill enemies with one shot. Its unique design, featuring an intricate knotwork dragon, suggests this skin is exclusive, mysterious, and impossible to unravel even with a fortune of 200 keys.

History

History

The AWP | Dragon Lore first dropped in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, and since its drop date, it was considered one of the most popular skins. It was only available through the Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package. This skin in Factory New became a symbol of prestige and skill, while its market price reached incredibly high values.

Origin

Origin

The AWP | Dragon Lore Factory New is one of the rarest skins in CS2 and drops when one of the 10 containers containing the said skin, such as the Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, are opened. This skin is also part of the highly exclusive Cobblestone Collection, and because of that, this skin is the most demanded by the CS2 player community.

Popularity

Popularity

AWP | Dragon Lore-Factory New is the most popular among all CS2 skins: this skin has a strong popularity of 65% among players. It is one of the most in-demand skins in the game, and this fact is proved by a huge volume of sales and high price.

Rarity

Rarity

AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) is one of 125 Sniper Rifle skins that feature in CS: GO. This skin comes in the Covert rarity and holds an approximate drop chance of 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

The float range of the AWP | Dragon Lore in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.70, ensuring that this highly sought-after skin is available in all of its exterior variants, thus allowing players to showcase this skin in all its glory. Furthermore, each exterior variant also has a corresponding Souvenir version of the Dragon Lore, allowing collectors and enthusiasts with an ever rarer and more exclusive option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

AWP | Dragon Lore Factory New has been rated by the community with a very strong sentiment; it has over 5.7K votes on addskins.gg and has an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity can be underlined by its ownership among famous pro players like guardian, s1mple, and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

This skin, AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New), has a "Custom Paint Job" style in CS2 and an extremely eye-catching finish, with the name Dragon Lore, which allows pulling off very varied and bright colors. The skin shows an interesting mix of orange, yellow, and gold colors, while pattern indexes do nothing to change the signature look of the Dragon Lore.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 12 595 (-0.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 12 212 (-3.95%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 11 405 (-10.29%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 14 561 (14.53%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.