AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)

4.6 2635 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 19
+3.23%
Last month
$ 111
+22.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 630
+2.9%
In a quarter
$ 628
+2.57%
In half a year
$ 666
+8.78%
In a year
$ 903
+47.49%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
66% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
33 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
AWP | Lightning Strike inspecting AWP | Lightning Strike reloading AWP | Lightning Strike holding AWP | Lightning Strike pose-1 AWP | Lightning Strike pose-2 AWP | Lightning Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 608
  • 7 days low: $ 589
  • 7 days high: $ 5 971
  • 7 days price change: 3.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 497
  • 30 days high: $ 7 426
  • 30 days price change: 22.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 497
  • 90 days high: $ 7 426
  • Year low: $ 497
  • Year high: $ 111 457
  • All time low: $ 457
  • All time high: $ 111 457
  • All time max offers: 49
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 21
  • All time sales: 56
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.79
  • Volatility: 8.9%
  • Liquidity: 6.45%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 630
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 628
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.57%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 666
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.78%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 903
  • Price forecast change in a year: 47.49%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 582
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 591
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 591
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 685
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 688
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 97.02
16.42%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 620
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 620
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 710
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 90.47
14.60%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 698
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 634
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 634
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 582
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 591
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 591
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 561
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 574
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 579
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 593
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 607
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 685
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 688
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 97.02
16.42%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 620
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 620
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 710
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 90.47
14.60%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 698
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 634
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 634
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 646
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 187
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 844
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
66%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
8684
143140
115112
458447
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 5/30
  • Damage: 115
  • Spread: 0.2
  • Rate of fire: 41
  • Movement speed: 200
  • Kill reward: $ 100
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

AWP | Lightning Strike-Minimal Wear is one of the most powerful weapons within CS2-accuracy with which it plants foes and the loud noise that this magnum triumphantly screams. A Lightning Strike anodizing effect paint over a metallic base coat gives this AWP its sleek design and adds some electrifying flair to your arsenal. You won't have to shoot twice when you use this AWP.

History

History

First released on August 14th, 2013, as part of "The Arms Deal" update that packed the game full of rare weapon skins, the AWP | Lightning Strike has been striking virtual battlefields in CS2 ever since. Since then, this electrifying AWP skin has been one of the most hunted items from the players due to its striking lightning design and its minimal wear variant, which shows its battle scars with grace.

Origin

Origin

The AWP | Lightning Strike can be acquired through the CS2 Weapon Case opening case container. This skin shares the same floating value as the souped-up-mouse version. This striking design is also part of The Arms Deal Collection, which increases its value and desirability for collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

AWP | Lightning Strike gained extraordinary popularity, having a huge popularity rating of 95% in the CS2 community. Such high demand and extensive use have allowed this skin to take a leading position in those most wanted and desirable for players throughout the game; its daily sales volume and price stand as proof.

Rarity

Rarity

AW Per | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) is one of 125 Sniper Rifle skins existing in CS2. The AWP | Lightning Strike belongs to Covert rarity, which means it is the most rarely dropped one. Having an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%, it has turned into the dream and at the same time an object of desire for many collectors and players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the AWP | Lightning Strike lies from 0.07 to 0.15, providing the skin in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested conditions. In addition, for all exteriors, collectors are able to get a StatTrak variation of the Lightning Strike.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) within CS2 is highly positive, evidenced by its average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars based on over 2.5K votes on addskins.gg. That further solidifies the skin as being in high regard that it has been part of three top professional players: bondik, karrigan, and boltz.

Finish style

Finish style

This AWP | Lightning Strike features a colorful "Anodized Multicolored" style with an appealing lightning strike finish. The candy coat is done in a multicolored pattern, which is very reminiscent of silkscreening or adherable stencils. The main color of the skin has this attractive purple tint to it. The indexes of pattern are not affecting this amazing Lightning Strike finishing.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 630 (2.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 628 (2.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 666 (8.78%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 903 (47.49%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

All sniper rifle