★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.9 8035 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 31
+5.32%
Last month
$ 52
+9.25%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 687
-9.75%
In a quarter
$ 674
-11.46%
In half a year
$ 665
-12.64%
In a year
$ 834
+9.56%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
15% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
10 offers on 5 markets
Updated11 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 614
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 748
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 877
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 988
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1 016
Inspect skin
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 614
  • 24h price change: -11.27%
  • 7 days low: $ 583
  • 7 days high: $ 1 018
  • 7 days price change: 5.32%
  • 30 days low: $ 562
  • 30 days high: $ 1 045
  • 30 days price change: 9.25%
  • 90 days low: $ 550
  • 90 days high: $ 1 045
  • Year low: $ 485
  • Year high: $ 1 479
  • All time low: $ 485
  • All time high: $ 1 479
  • All time max offers: 47
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4
  • Sales for last 90 days: 16
  • All time sales: 36
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.468
  • Volatility: 13.14%
  • Liquidity: 2.86%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 687
  • Price forecast change in a month: -9.75%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 674
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.46%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 665
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -12.64%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 834
  • Price forecast change in a year: 9.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 537
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 571
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 595
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 891
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 747
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 537
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 550
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 520
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 517
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 568
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 582
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 571
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 571
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 570
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 562
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 563
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 562
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 595
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 891
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 747
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 754
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
15%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
4.7 1502
In half a year 33%
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
$ 274
53%
From last month
58 offers on 9 markets
4.9 7374
In half a year 31%
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Black Laminate
Well-Worn
$ 158
44%
From last month
207 offers on 9 markets
$ 221
54%
From last month
48 offers on 10 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when the "The Arms Deal" update went live along with the case that came with it, the Revolver Case. Since its addition, it's been one of the most wanted knife skins in the entire game due to the bright blue patterns, and the extremely rare ones, which make it highly prized by any collector or player.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is the most rare and one of the highly desirable skins within CS2. It could be only opened after receiving one of 11 containers, where it was included: CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. The collection for such a Bayonet skin does not exist. Therefore, this makes it even more unique and highly wanted by players.

Popularity

Popularity

Considering the huge popularity of 95%, the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the most demanded CS2 skins. Its extremely high popularity is judged based on its steady daily sales volume and a high price that this skin has in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New is a member of the 391 knife skins that exist in CS2. Being Covert, it belongs to an ultra-rare drop category, and its drop probability is estimated to be only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price range for the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New skin varies from $317.44 to $975.00, which puts it into the class of high-tier CS2 skins. As an expensive skin, Case Hardened is nevertheless well available because it is represented on several markets. At this very moment, approximately 5.4K units of Case Hardened skin are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing the skin to be found in all exteriors, including Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred. Additionally, for each of these exteriors, there is a corresponding StatTrak version available, adding a counter to track kills made with the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) enjoyed a very good community approval rate, having more than 8K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Owned by professional CS2 player aerial, by this fact its popularity is underlined, it adds to its desirability among the players.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Bayonet boasts an extraordinary Case Hardened finish with a very intricately patterned index adding much character and depth to the blade. The patina effect gives a hardened shell over the metallic parts, making it natural and authentic, much like actual weapon finishes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 687 (-9.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 674 (-11.46%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 665 (-12.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 834 (9.56%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.