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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when the "The Arms Deal" update went live along with the case that came with it, the Revolver Case. Since its addition, it's been one of the most wanted knife skins in the entire game due to the bright blue patterns, and the extremely rare ones, which make it highly prized by any collector or player.
The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is the most rare and one of the highly desirable skins within CS2. It could be only opened after receiving one of 11 containers, where it was included: CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. The collection for such a Bayonet skin does not exist. Therefore, this makes it even more unique and highly wanted by players.
Considering the huge popularity of 95%, the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the most demanded CS2 skins. Its extremely high popularity is judged based on its steady daily sales volume and a high price that this skin has in the market.
The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New is a member of the 391 knife skins that exist in CS2. Being Covert, it belongs to an ultra-rare drop category, and its drop probability is estimated to be only 0.26%.
The price range for the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New skin varies from $317.44 to $975.00, which puts it into the class of high-tier CS2 skins. As an expensive skin, Case Hardened is nevertheless well available because it is represented on several markets. At this very moment, approximately 5.4K units of Case Hardened skin are in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing the skin to be found in all exteriors, including Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred. Additionally, for each of these exteriors, there is a corresponding StatTrak version available, adding a counter to track kills made with the knife.
The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) enjoyed a very good community approval rate, having more than 8K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Owned by professional CS2 player aerial, by this fact its popularity is underlined, it adds to its desirability among the players.
This Factory New Bayonet boasts an extraordinary Case Hardened finish with a very intricately patterned index adding much character and depth to the blade. The patina effect gives a hardened shell over the metallic parts, making it natural and authentic, much like actual weapon finishes.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 687 (-9.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 674 (-11.46%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 665 (-12.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 834 (9.56%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.











Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.