★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.9 8157 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 41
+13.14%
Last month
$ 193
+121%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 392
+0.75%
In a quarter
$ 385
-1.05%
In half a year
$ 401
+3.06%
In a year
$ 435
+11.8%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
83% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
51 offers on 10 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 353
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from $ 362
Skinport
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from $ 382
Waxpeer
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from $ 393
Bitskins
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2 offers
from $ 459
Avan.Market
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2 offers
from $ 461
ShadowPay
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3 offers
from $ 481
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 481
Steam
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8 offers
from $ 559
CSGOEmpire
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3 offers
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Inspect skin
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 353
  • 24h price change: -3.29%
  • 7 days low: $ 312
  • 7 days high: $ 1 005
  • 7 days price change: 13.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 160
  • 30 days high: $ 2 474
  • 30 days price change: 121%
  • 90 days low: $ 160
  • 90 days high: $ 2 488
  • Year low: $ 160
  • Year high: $ 77 922
  • All time low: $ 160
  • All time high: $ 77 922
  • All time max offers: 127
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 20
  • Sales for last 30 days: 82
  • Sales for last 90 days: 108
  • All time sales: 250
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0776
  • Volatility: 15.33%
  • Liquidity: 4.47%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 392
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.75%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 385
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.05%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 401
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.06%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 435
  • Price forecast change in a year: 11.8%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 416
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 416
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 429
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 13.27
3.19%
Result
👍 Success
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 439
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 439
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 459
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 20.31
4.63%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 314
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 314
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 404
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 89.91
28.62%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 416
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 416
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 423
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 362
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 392
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 395
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 390
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 419
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 426
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 429
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 424
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 429
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 13.27
3.19%
Result
👍 Success
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 439
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 439
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 459
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 20.31
4.63%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 314
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 314
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 404
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 89.91
28.62%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 123
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 169
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
83%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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★ Bayonet | Autotronic
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★ Bayonet
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53%
From last month
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In half a year 31%
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Black Laminate
Well-Worn
$ 158
44%
From last month
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$ 221
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From last month
48 offers on 10 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened was one of the very first skins in CS2 and was added on the August 14th, 2013 via "The Arms Deal" update. Its unique Case Hardened pattern made it one of the most popular skins between collectors and traders out there.

Origin

Origin

The Bayonet | Case Hardened has minor, barely noticeable scratches and is a rare skin that can only be obtained from the opening of containers in CS2, such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. This one does not fall under any collection; therefore, it is unique, unlike many other skins.

Popularity

Popularity

Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) has a popularity rating of 95% within the CS2 community. Its appeal is loud and clear by the sales volume and the price this particular skin commands in the market each and every time strongly solidifies its status as one of the most popular items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 skin from the Knife category. It is one of 391 knives skins existing in-game and belongs to Covert rarity, making it an ultra rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The skin Bayonet | Case Hardened Minimal Wear of CS2 is high class, with its cost ranging between $317.44-$975.00. It is expensive, yet the skin is very common on the market, and as such, it is easily accessible. Currently, about 5.4K units of the Case Hardened skin reside in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is between 0.07-0.15 in float value in CS2. This would mean that it would be very well-worn but would still have an appreciable amount of its original finish remaining. In fact, all exterior versions of the skin are available, even going to the extremes of Factory New to Field-Tested and Battle-Scarred versions. The skin ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Minimal Wear also has a StatTrak version for each exterior, adding the special touch of tracking prestige to an already highly popular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

In the case of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), it is fully supported by the community through over 8K votes on addskins.gg and a truly great average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Another highlight of its popularity is that it belongs to the professional CS2 player aerial.

Finish style

Finish style

This Bayonet features a Case Hardened finish, featuring a unique pattern index that dictates precisely where and to what degree the blue and gold tones will manifest on the blade. The patina effect gives character and depth to the weapon, emulating the real-life case-hardening process to give it an appearance that is both unique and striking.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 392 (0.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 385 (-1.05%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 401 (3.06%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 435 (11.8%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.