★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)

4.5 8456 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2
+0.4525%
Last month
$ 233
+110%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 526
+15.13%
In a quarter
$ 568
+24.32%
In half a year
$ 517
+13.16%
In a year
$ 537
+17.54%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
236 offers on 11 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Fade inspecting ★ Bayonet | Fade holding ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 444
  • 24h price change: -1.11%
  • 7 days low: $ 442
  • 7 days high: $ 2 330
  • 7 days price change: 0.4525%
  • 30 days low: $ 211
  • 30 days high: $ 2 504
  • 30 days price change: 110%
  • 90 days low: $ 211
  • 90 days high: $ 6 587
  • Year low: $ 211
  • Year high: $ 121 999
  • All time low: $ 211
  • All time high: $ 121 999
  • All time max offers: 366
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 7
  • Sales for last 7 days: 62
  • Sales for last 30 days: 247
  • Sales for last 90 days: 323
  • All time sales: 691
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2845
  • Volatility: 28.81%
  • Liquidity: 4.64%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 526
  • Price forecast change in a month: 15.13%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 568
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 24.32%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 517
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 13.16%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 537
  • Price forecast change in a year: 17.54%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 709
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 352
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 502
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 150
42.55%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 709
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 703
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 671
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 678
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 689
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 654
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 665
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 690
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 723
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 744
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 724
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 692
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 769
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 352
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 502
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 150
42.55%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 150
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 352
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
4.7 1502
In half a year 33%
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
$ 274
53%
From last month
58 offers on 9 markets
4.9 7374
In half a year 31%
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Black Laminate
Well-Worn
$ 158
44%
From last month
207 offers on 9 markets
$ 221
54%
From last month
48 offers on 10 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Fade was released on August 14th, 2013, in the virtual world as a skin along with releasing the Revolver Case in CS: GO. This nice and wonderful knife immediately moved to the top among players since it added some sort of elegant look to the arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Bayonet | Fade is one of the most popular skins within CS2, and the only way to get it is by opening one of the 11 containers it is hosted in, like CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike other skins, the ★ Bayonet | Fade does not belong to any collection, hence making it so precious among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

In CS2, ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is one of the most wanted skins, desired by 90% of users. By giving it such a status, it not only grants the skin with the title of most wanted in CS: GO but also makes it a fairly good investment, with its moving sales number going at a pretty great price.

Rarity

Rarity

In total, there are 391 other Knife skins for ★ Bayonet | Fade. Its rarity is Covert, and is considered an ultra-rare drop with an estimated drop chance of 0.26%. Obtaining the Factory New version of the skin is super exciting because, due to its outstanding fade pattern and demand from the collectors, it is considered very scarce among CS2 skins.

Availability

Availability

Such popularity means that the ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) costs quite a lot: $997.65-$1,219.36. Despite an expensive nature, this skin is currently in stock in several markets and can be purchased by any person who wants to own it. Moreover, there are about 5.5K units of the Fade in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Bayonet | Fade is available in Factory New and Minimal Wear, with a float value between 0.00-0.08. There is also a StatTrak version of Fade for every exterior condition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Bayonet | Fade is so supported and loved within the community: more than 8.4K votes on addskins.gg and an average vote rating of 4.5 of 5 stars. It's also well-represented in the pro scene, because this skin is proudly owned by famous professional players adren, ax1le, and lucas1.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Bayonet boasts a "Precision Airbrushed" finish, displaying the Fade pattern that simulates applying a candy coat gloss finish using freehand airbrushing by a true master of the medium. The appearance of a Fade finish can be calculated by its pattern index: the lower the percentage, the more tightly the colors will blend together, and vice versa. The final product is a dizzying array of colors that blend seamlessly into the next color.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 526 (15.13%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 568 (24.32%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 517 (13.16%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 537 (17.54%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.