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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Black Mesa Pin are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Black Mesa Pin originally was added to CS2 on March 22nd, 2020, filling in under the Half-Life: Alyx Collectible Pins Capsule. Coinciding with the release was an update entitled "Half-Life: Alyx Items," packing a pinch of Black Mesa's iconic presence.
The Black Mesa Pin can be obtained by opening special containers entitled Half-Life: Alyx Collectible Pins Capsule, which contains pins that were inspired by this famous game. It is not a part of any collection; therefore, it's one of the highly demanded pins among CS2 players.
The Black Mesa Pin is quite popular among CS2 players since, for now, it has a popularity rating of 75%, which means this pin belongs to the upper quartile of most demanded items in the game. This evaluation considers both daily sales volume and the item's price, which means very high demand comes from the community.
The Black Mesa Pin is one of 45 other collectible items, making them quite common within the CS2 community. With an approximate drop chance of 79.92%, the item falls under the High Grade category in terms of rarity.
The Black Mesa Pin has gained quite a lot of love within the CS2 community: it holds more than 1.3K votes on addsins.com with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. That is just proof of how great and popular it is.
According to the forecast, the price of the Black Mesa Pin is expected fall down to $ 5.08 (-7.47%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.1 (-7.1%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.54 (0.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.31 (33.15%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
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