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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened was dropped into the virtual world of CS2 for the first time on July 1st, 2014, and immediately became a great addition to the in-game arsenal of weapons. Thus, this really awesome-looking knife was released as a rare drop condition inside the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, presented together with the long-anticipated "Operation Breakout" update and drew players' attention with its incredible Case Hardened skin pattern.
The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the highly sought-after skins, which can only be obtained through the opening of a limited amount of Operation Breakout Weapon Case containers. The striking and bright blue pattern forms a result of the case hardening process, making it highly striking among collectors and enthusiasts.
With such an amazing design and such great rarity, it makes the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) one of the most sought-after skins, as it has received a popularity rating of 90%. Constant sales and high demand at a price that is already high in the CS2 community reinforce its desirability.
The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other knife skins available in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Covert, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated chance of only 0.26% to obtain.
The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the most available skins in the game, as it has all the possible exterior versions between 0.00 and 1.00 floats, which makes it quite universal for collectors. Finally, for each version of exterior skin, there exists a Case Hardened StatTrak version, adding an extra level to the rarity and tracking of the knife.
The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) holds a very popular place in the CS2 community. It has had an astonishing number of over 10K votes to date on addskins.gg for an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. Further emphasis on its popularity is placed by the fact that kscerato, one of the well-known professional CS2 players, owns it.
Featuring a rich Case Hardened finish and a bold blue and gold mix swirled in an entertaining pattern on both the blade and handle, this Factory New Butterfly Knife looks stunning. The unique pattern index of this knife only adds to the looks, ensuring a truly unique knife that will turn heads in the virtual battlefield.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 789 (19.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2 214 (47.82%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 2 468 (64.78%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3 421 (128.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.