★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

5.0 10022 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 789
+19.44%
In a quarter
$ 2 214
+47.82%
In half a year
$ 2 468
+64.78%
In a year
$ 3 421
+128.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
22 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
6 offers
from $ 1 468
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 1 527
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 561
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 1 675
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 879
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 2 000
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 2 824
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 4 099
Inspect skin
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 468
  • 7 days low: $ 1 468
  • 7 days high: $ 5 823
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 468
  • 30 days high: $ 5 823
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 468
  • 90 days high: $ 5 823
  • Year low: $ 1 362
  • Year high: $ 503 027
  • All time low: $ 1 224
  • All time high: $ 503 027
  • All time max offers: 102
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 5
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 8.94
  • Volatility: 9.43%
  • Liquidity: 4.15%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 789
  • Price forecast change in a month: 19.44%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2 214
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 47.82%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2 468
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 64.78%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3 421
  • Price forecast change in a year: 128.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 792
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 792
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 792
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 792
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 129
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2 229
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2 129
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2 114
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 052
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 206
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2 194
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 245
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 191
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 196
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 169
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 109
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 125
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 766
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 519
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 792
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related

Description

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened was dropped into the virtual world of CS2 for the first time on July 1st, 2014, and immediately became a great addition to the in-game arsenal of weapons. Thus, this really awesome-looking knife was released as a rare drop condition inside the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, presented together with the long-anticipated "Operation Breakout" update and drew players' attention with its incredible Case Hardened skin pattern.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the highly sought-after skins, which can only be obtained through the opening of a limited amount of Operation Breakout Weapon Case containers. The striking and bright blue pattern forms a result of the case hardening process, making it highly striking among collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

With such an amazing design and such great rarity, it makes the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) one of the most sought-after skins, as it has received a popularity rating of 90%. Constant sales and high demand at a price that is already high in the CS2 community reinforce its desirability.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other knife skins available in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Covert, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated chance of only 0.26% to obtain.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the most available skins in the game, as it has all the possible exterior versions between 0.00 and 1.00 floats, which makes it quite universal for collectors. Finally, for each version of exterior skin, there exists a Case Hardened StatTrak version, adding an extra level to the rarity and tracking of the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) holds a very popular place in the CS2 community. It has had an astonishing number of over 10K votes to date on addskins.gg for an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. Further emphasis on its popularity is placed by the fact that kscerato, one of the well-known professional CS2 players, owns it.

Finish style

Finish style

Featuring a rich Case Hardened finish and a bold blue and gold mix swirled in an entertaining pattern on both the blade and handle, this Factory New Butterfly Knife looks stunning. The unique pattern index of this knife only adds to the looks, ensuring a truly unique knife that will turn heads in the virtual battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 789 (19.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2 214 (47.82%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 2 468 (64.78%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3 421 (128.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players