★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)

4.4 10039 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 408
+63.85%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 188
+13.43%
In a quarter
$ 1 062
+1.4%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 1 047
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 048
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1 077
Inspect skin
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 047
  • 7 days low: $ 1 047
  • 7 days high: $ 1 078
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 639
  • 30 days high: $ 2 018
  • 30 days price change: 63.85%
  • 90 days low: $ 639
  • 90 days high: $ 2 183
  • Year low: $ 639
  • Year high: $ 2 551
  • All time low: $ 639
  • All time high: $ 2 551
  • All time max offers: 31
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2245
  • Volatility: 7.85%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 188
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.43%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 062
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 282
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 282
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 245
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -36.7
-2.86%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 252
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 236
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 639
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 639
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 047
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 408
63.92%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 282
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 282
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 265
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 282
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1 248
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 245
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -36.7
-2.86%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 252
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 212
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 192
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 233
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 236
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 265
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 257
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 260
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 349
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 639
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 639
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 639
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 639
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 1 047
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 408
63.92%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 372
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 921
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related

Description

The Butterfly Knife | Scorched is a well-worked-out balisong knife for its detailed design and swift blade deployment. The spray-painted sun-dappled pattern gives an air of class and represents rebirth for those hankering to be transformed in battle's heat.

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched dropped in the virtual world of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, when it was included in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. It was a pretty weapon that became an immediate favorite of any player to show off its elaborately designed scorched pattern and sleek animations flipping.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched is one of the rarest and most wanted knife skins in CS2. It combines great design with a very bold, hot look. Due to its nature, this knife can only be obtained through an Operation Breakout Weapon Case container, adding a pinch of exclusivity to the skin.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched has become very popular among CS2 players, which explains its 95% current popularity rating. It has turned this high demand into becoming one of the most wanted items in the game due to very frequent sales and a relatively high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched belongs to 391 other skins for Knives. The rarity of the skin is Covert, making the skin an extremely rare drop; the estimated drop chance is only about 0.26%, hence being highly desired by collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New) is among the most popular and expensive skins in CS2, with its price range varying between $549.47-$840.06. Being expensive, this skin is free on the market today and can be purchased from different markets. In fact, there are approximately 11.6K units of the Scorched knife residing in public CS2 inventories-a feature that makes it accessible to investments.

Versions

Versions

This means that the ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched in Factory New condition has a float value from 0.06 to 0.80, thus ensuring this skin is available in all exteriors, from minimal wear to battle-scarred. For collectors who enjoy the added flair of StatTrak, there's also a StatTrak version for each exterior of the Scorched.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched went viral among the CS2 community, having more than 10K votes on addskins.gg. It has an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, which generally denotes positive feedback about the design and quality of this particular skin. Moreover, owning this knife really makes it very popular among professional CS2 players boltz and fame, which justifies big enthusiasm for it among collectors and real fans.

Finish style

Finish style

The Factory New Butterfly Knife has an extremely time-consuming "Spray-Paint" style and is affixed with a detailed Scorched finish. To achieve this, the weapon had multiple layers of spray paint applied in stencil patterns to attain an attractive black and gray color scheme. The Scorched finish also adopts a unique look provided by its pattern index for an extremely unique and realistic design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 188 (13.43%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 062 (1.4%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players