Falchion Case Key

4.8 3494 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.7
+17%
Last month
$ 1.7
+17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.94
-2.41%
In a quarter
$ 12.87
+14.81%
In half a year
$ 14.56
+29.88%
In a year
$ 23.2
+107.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
177 offers on 4 markets
Updated17 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
45 offers
from $ 11.7
Steam
Steam
117 offers
from $ 12.7
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
5 offers
from $ 12.99
Bitskins
Bitskins
10 offers
from $ 14.99
Inspect skin
Falchion Case Key
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.7
  • 24h price change: 17.0%
  • 7 days low: $ 10
  • 7 days high: $ 25
  • 7 days price change: 17%
  • 30 days low: $ 10
  • 30 days high: $ 25
  • 30 days price change: 17%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.98
  • 90 days high: $ 30.82
  • Year low: $ 6.89
  • Year high: $ 2 266
  • All time low: $ 6.33
  • All time high: $ 2 266
  • All time max offers: 21982
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 49
  • Sales for last 30 days: 190
  • Sales for last 90 days: 441
  • All time sales: 1371
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.76
  • Volatility: 100.0%
  • Liquidity: 2.0%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.94
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.41%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 12.87
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.81%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 14.56
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 29.88%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 23.2
  • Price forecast change in a year: 107.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Falchion Case Key are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 11.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.91
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 11.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.91
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 11.91
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 11.91
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 12.79
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 12.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.44
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 13.15
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.47
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.41
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.82
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.18
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.67
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.57
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.18
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 10
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 11.91
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

Falchion Case Key was first presented in CS2 on May 26th, 2015, and was added with the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Right after its release, it became a highly desired thing for the players because it gave them a great opportunity to unlock an extremely rare Falchion Case and finally see what skins were hidden inside.

Origin

Origin

This is what makes the Falchion Case key unique and more valuable, since it cannot be opened through containers, adding more to its worth; it is highly sought after. It does not have a collection, making it extra unique for CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Falchion Case Key is one of the most coveted skins within CS2, boasting an ultra-high rating of 85% among players. That means it retains a good volume of sales and isn't that lowly valued compared to other items in the game, lying within the top 15% of desired items.

Rarity

Rarity

It is one drop out of 36 other key items, making it actually a pretty common drop in the game. Being classified under the rarity Base Grade, CS2 players can somewhat expect to come across the Falchion Case Key rather frequently during gameplay.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the Falchion Case Key for CS2 is extremely positive, with an unprecedentedly high rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars over more than 5.1K votes on addskins.gg. Another fact that corroborates its popularity is that it belongs to the professional CS2 player issaa.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Falchion Case Key is expected fall down to $ 10.94 (-2.41%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 12.87 (14.81%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 14.56 (29.88%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 23.2 (107.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

  • Game: CS2/CS:GO
  • Category: Key
  • Designer: Valve
  • Update: The Hunter and the Hunted
  • Released: May 26, 2015

Pro Players