★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)

4.4 1230 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.75
+2.9%
Last month
$ 33.79
+52.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 123
+20.35%
In a quarter
$ 149
+45.79%
In half a year
$ 167
+63.41%
In a year
$ 192
+87.87%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
176 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 97.64
  • 24h price change: 2.9%
  • 7 days low: $ 94.89
  • 7 days high: $ 240
  • 7 days price change: 2.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 63.85
  • 30 days high: $ 512
  • 30 days price change: 52.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 63.85
  • 90 days high: $ 512
  • Year low: $ 63.85
  • Year high: $ 27 464
  • All time low: $ 63.85
  • All time high: $ 27 464
  • All time max offers: 248
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 23
  • Sales for last 7 days: 115
  • Sales for last 30 days: 460
  • Sales for last 90 days: 637
  • All time sales: 1361
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.44
  • Volatility: 22.84%
  • Liquidity: 4.83%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 123
  • Price forecast change in a month: 20.35%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 149
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 45.79%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 167
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 63.41%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 192
  • Price forecast change in a year: 87.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 160
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 160
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 160
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 63.85
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 160
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

Inspired by the elegance of the falchion sword, this factory new Bright Water Falchion Knife features a gracefully curved clip point blade. The stunning blue camo hydrographic paint job adds an aquatic allure to this knife, thus easily making it a standout in any CS2 collection.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water first appeared among CS2 players on September 21st, 2021, when a new knife skin was released in the Dreams & Nightmares Case. This caught-attention knife gained popularity due to its different design and vivid aqua theme that perfectly matched the "Operation Riptide" update based on seafront.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is a highly rare and popular skin in CS2 that was opened through cases, either from the Dreams & Nightmares Case or the Operation Riptide Case. This knife comes out as one of the nicest Factory New knives due to its fascinating water-themed design, which is highly in demand by collectors and fans.

Popularity

Popularity

As a consequence of its extreme popularity, reaching as high as 95%, the item ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water in Factory New condition became an absolute sensation within the CS2 community. Such a tremendous demand and constantly high volume of sales have nailed this skin among the most wanted in-game items, making it an object of envy for players and collectors alike.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is one of the 391 other Knife skins, and hence one of the hottest cosmetics in CS: GO. Its rarity is classified as Covert. That puts the Bright Water in the line of extremely rare drops believed to have only a 0.26% chance of getting dropped.

Availability

Availability

The Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) is an affordable skin, and its price spans from $98.43 to $149.80. The Bright Water skin can still be freely purchased in many markets without complications. Furthermore, the Bright Water now commands around 5.5K units in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water in CS2 ranges from a pristine 0.00 to a well-worn 0.50, thus allowing players to get this fantastic skin for every available exterior. Furthermore, collectors and amateurs can also obtain a StatTrak variant for Bright Water, adding even more rarity and prestige to this highly desired knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The attention towards ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water has been pretty decent in the community: a lot of votes in addskins.gg, average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars and even owned by szpero, pro player of CS2.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Falchion Knife has an incredible "Hydrographic" pattern, wherein parts of the disassembled weapon are carefully dunked through floating hydrographic film in a water tank. The result is this very dazzling pattern on the surface. The dominant shade of blue is reflected within the overall presentation of the Bright Water finish, generally created by its pattern index to make for a design that is both singular and intriguing to the human eye.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 123 (20.35%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 149 (45.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 167 (63.41%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 192 (87.87%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players