★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)

4.4 1382 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.14
+5.18%
Last month
$ 28.71
+51.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 93.1
+11.15%
In a quarter
$ 116
+38.49%
In half a year
$ 130
+55.21%
In a year
$ 122
+45.65%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
84% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
197 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
44 offers
from $ 84.14
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
19 offers
from $ 92.56
White.Market
White.Market
27 offers
from $ 92.62
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
40 offers
from $ 93.73
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
22 offers
from $ 95.13
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
30 offers
from $ 103
Steam
Steam
12 offers
from $ 142
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
2 offers
from $ 149
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 191
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 84.14
  • 24h price change: 0.4537%
  • 7 days low: $ 80
  • 7 days high: $ 234
  • 7 days price change: 5.18%
  • 30 days low: $ 55.43
  • 30 days high: $ 262
  • 30 days price change: 51.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 55.43
  • 90 days high: $ 294
  • Year low: $ 55.43
  • Year high: $ 465
  • All time low: $ 55.43
  • All time high: $ 465
  • All time max offers: 199
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 38
  • Sales for last 30 days: 141
  • Sales for last 90 days: 198
  • All time sales: 408
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.0
  • Volatility: 48.15%
  • Liquidity: 3.44%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 93.1
  • Price forecast change in a month: 11.15%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 116
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 38.49%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 130
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 55.21%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 122
  • Price forecast change in a year: 45.65%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.46
5.05%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 84.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 84.59
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 130
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.46
5.05%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 84.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 84.59
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 83.45
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 6.46
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 213
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

This worn ★ Falchion Knife draws its inspiration from the refined balance of the Falchion sword, and features a clip point blade with a fluidly curved edge. A 'Blue Camo' hydrographic pattern is applied to the surface, reminiscent of moving water.

History

History

The★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water, with its provocative blue-and-black coloring, was added to the collection of CS2 weapon skins on September 21st, 2021, and right away turned the heads of players with its fresh look. Being one of the most desired knives, it first appeared in the Dreams & Nightmares Case, which was released simultaneously with the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, plunging gamers into the world of dreams and nightmares.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is an unboxing reward for opening a Dreams & Nightmares Case or Operation Riptide Case Container. This striking skin has a colorful, water-themed appearance and doesn't fit into any collections, therefore being one of the extremely rare appearances on the market.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water has gained an incredible 95% popularity among CS2 players, placing it among the strongest items in demand among all of the CS2 skins. Its huge popularity is determined by high daily sales volume and a premium market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water belongs to the big group of 391 other Knife skins, and it is one of the most wanted skins by players. Its rarity level is Covert, and that means it is an ultra-rare drop. Such a skin is considered to have the general drop chance of only 0.26%, which means it's very valued among collectors.

Availability

Availability

Finally, the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a price within the budget range and fluctuates between $98.43-$149.80. This is one of the most popular skins, and you can easily get it because it's pretty common on various markets. Currently, there are around 5.5K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) features a float value in the range of 0.38-0.45, which corresponds to the well-worn wear and noticeable scratches/wear of the blade and handle. For every skin, there is an exterior: Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Battle-Scarred. Each skin also has a StatTrak version, enabling players to track their kills with this fancy knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water enjoys extreme popularity within the community: it has more than 1.2K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. This is even made more certain by professional CS2 player szpero owning it, which just goes to show its desirability among both enthusiasts and pros in the gaming world.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-out Falchion Knife has a hydrographic-style Bright Water finish, where the parts of the weapon are carefully dipped through a floating film in a water tank. The result is an arresting pattern that covers the surface of the skin. Dominant in blue tint, this skin gives off an air of elegance. The pattern index, which is different for every knife, adds to its total look, making each one unique and spectacular.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 93.1 (11.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 116 (38.49%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 130 (55.21%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 122 (45.65%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players