★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)

4.9 7994 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2
+1.2%
Last month
$ 34
+25.37%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 182
+8.16%
In a quarter
$ 181
+7.57%
In half a year
$ 189
+12.32%
In a year
$ 252
+49.76%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
66 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 168
  • 24h price change: 1.2%
  • 7 days low: $ 166
  • 7 days high: $ 387
  • 7 days price change: 1.2%
  • 30 days low: $ 134
  • 30 days high: $ 488
  • 30 days price change: 25.37%
  • 90 days low: $ 134
  • 90 days high: $ 488
  • Year low: $ 102
  • Year high: $ 35 849
  • All time low: $ 102
  • All time high: $ 35 849
  • All time max offers: 149
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 19
  • Sales for last 30 days: 88
  • Sales for last 90 days: 124
  • All time sales: 268
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.31
  • Volatility: 12.99%
  • Liquidity: 4.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 182
  • Price forecast change in a month: 8.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 181
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 7.57%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 189
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 12.32%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 252
  • Price forecast change in a year: 49.76%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 192
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 192
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.22
15.74%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 151
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 192
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 192
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 192
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.22
15.74%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 151
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 181
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 30.22
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 343
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 195
51%
From last month
41 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened first appeared within CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was released in the Falchion Case as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since then, this Factory New knife has become one of the most wished-for things for gamers due to its neat blue pattern and perfect condition.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) could be obtained by opening a container called Falchion Case, whereby players should receive this particular battle-worn skin. This particular pattern of blue and gold forms on the knife as the result of some sort of case-hardening process, giving it this weathered look-a battle-scarred knife that tells stories of countless encounters in the virtual battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the hottest CS2 items, holding the top 15% positions in the popularity rating. Its high popularity is predetermined by the volume of its daily sales and skin price, turning it into a very desirable choice for players.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the 391 other skins in the Knife category, which makes it an extremely popular variation to get. Case Hardened skin pertains to a Covert rarity category, and this ultra-rare knife drop estimate is as low as 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is a relatively expensive skin, as its prices vary in a range from $146.04 to $706.79. At the same time, it's highly available because this skin is traded on many markets, and there are approximately 7,000 units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) ranges from 0.38-0.45, which means that this knife has very high wear and tear. The majority color of the blade is blue. Additionally, with every exterior, there is a Battle-Scarred Case Hardened Falchion Knife available, with a variant of StatTrak that helps an owner count his kills with this beauty after it has weathered.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

It received huge community support- ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) had over 7.8K votes with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. It is also owned by several high-profile, professional CS2 players like fer and xfl0ud, adding more popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

This Battle-Scarred Falchion Knife features an extremely unique "Patina" style, featuring a Case Hardened finish that emulates the organic, natural manner in which metal hardens. Adding even more individuality, the pattern index of the finish itself is unique. Various shades of blue interwoven with hints of gold work together to create an overall striking yet rugged appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 182 (8.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 181 (7.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 189 (12.32%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 252 (49.76%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players