★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.9 7854 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 6
+1.99%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 367
+12.27%
In a quarter
$ 360
+10.13%
In half a year
$ 359
+9.83%
In a year
$ 415
+26.96%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
62% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
21 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 307
  • 7 days low: $ 307
  • 7 days high: $ 1 757
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 301
  • 30 days high: $ 4 104
  • 30 days price change: 1.99%
  • 90 days low: $ 301
  • 90 days high: $ 4 104
  • Year low: $ 150
  • Year high: $ 73 256
  • All time low: $ 150
  • All time high: $ 73 256
  • All time max offers: 47
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 11
  • All time sales: 40
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.83
  • Volatility: 9.72%
  • Liquidity: 5.3%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 367
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 360
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 10.13%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 359
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 9.83%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 415
  • Price forecast change in a year: 26.96%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 368
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 368
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 81.5
22.15%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 388
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 388
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 380
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -7.52
-1.94%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 354
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 354
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 368
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 368
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 379
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 81.5
22.15%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 388
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 388
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 398
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 380
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 380
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -7.52
-1.94%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 406
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 354
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 354
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 73.98
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 110
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
62%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
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From last week
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From last month
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47%
From last month
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Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened first appeared within CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was released in the Falchion Case as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since then, this Factory New knife has become one of the most wished-for things for gamers due to its neat blue pattern and perfect condition.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is one of the rarest and most sought-after skins in CS2-one that one may only get by opening a Falchion Case. With its really cool and intricate pattern in blue, combined with its Factory New condition, this knife will surely be highly in demand by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is extremely popular in CS2, having an extremely high percentage of popularity of 85%. It never drops out of the top 15% of items by their popularity, because its daily sales volume and its high premium in the skin market simply keep it at the top.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other skins for Knife in CS2. However, it has been assigned the Covert, ultra rare rarity and an estimated drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the most-sought CS2 skins. Its cost lies within $146.04-$706.79. Despite the relatively high price, this skin is presented on every market and can be freely bought. Already now, roughly 7,000 units of the Case Hardened skin are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, giving players the ability to get the skin in any exterior variant, showing off the most popular gold and blue patterns. Besides that, for collectors who want to have something more prestigious, there are StatTrak versions for each exterior, adding a sort of rarity and tracking the kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community loves the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), as more than 7.8K votes on addskins.gg gave an astonishing average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. It is highly popular among professional CS2 players; prominent players fer and xfl0ud are proud owners of this knife.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Falchion Knife is painted in a striking Case Hardened finish, exhibiting a perfect patina that develops a non-reactive, hardened shell over the metallic pieces. Complementing this feature on it is the unique and detailed pattern index that the finish offers as a display of striking blues and golds on the blade and handle.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 367 (12.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 360 (10.13%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 359 (9.83%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 415 (26.96%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players