★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7802 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 27
+11.74%
Last month
$ 78
+43.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 267
+4.78%
In a quarter
$ 255
+0.0746%
In half a year
$ 277
+8.71%
In a year
$ 292
+14.6%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
70% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
62 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Skinport
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CSGO.COM
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2 offers
from $ 319
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 257
  • 24h price change: 11.74%
  • 7 days low: $ 230
  • 7 days high: $ 701
  • 7 days price change: 11.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 179
  • 30 days high: $ 2 053
  • 30 days price change: 43.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 179
  • 90 days high: $ 2 053
  • Year low: $ 139
  • Year high: $ 44 279
  • All time low: $ 139
  • All time high: $ 44 279
  • All time max offers: 172
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 12
  • Sales for last 30 days: 107
  • Sales for last 90 days: 139
  • All time sales: 332
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0248
  • Volatility: 27.29%
  • Liquidity: 4.26%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 267
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.78%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 255
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0746%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 277
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.71%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 292
  • Price forecast change in a year: 14.6%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 259
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 259
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 293
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 31.64
12.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 313
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 187
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 277
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 259
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 259
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 262
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 261
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 269
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 293
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 31.64
12.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 313
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 187
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 277
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 31.64
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 446
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 195
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

Falchion Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on May 26th, 2015, in the update called "The Hunter and the Hunted", where it dropped in the Falchion Case. Due to the high contrast of its blue patterns, this weapon quickly gained momentum among players and collectors and grew to be one of the most pursued skins.

Origin

Origin

Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear is considered the one of the rare pulls in CS: GO and can only be pulled when opening a container called the Falchion Case, where the player has had a chance to pull it. Due to the skin being part of the Case Hardened variants, it hasn't been tagged to any collections, hence making this a unique, orphaned cosmetic item.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) has been one of the most popular skins in the game CS2 and for some time now has remained in the top 15% of highly wanted items. The popularity is justified by a number of sales it does every day and the skin market value, which turns this very skin into one of the most desirable options to add to collections and players' inventories.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is one of 391 other knife skins available in CS2. This skin has a Covert rarity classified, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated chance of only 0.26% chances.

Availability

Availability

Falchion Knife ★ Case Hardened Minimal Wear is one of the most popular CS2 skins, and it costs in a range from $146.04 to $706.79. As this skin is relatively expensive, it can now be widely found in most popular markets, and there are about 7,000 units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

CS2-★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) has a float value in the range of 0.07-0.15, having a pretty vivid pattern while the hues of blue and gold color both the blade and the handle. Furthermore, there is a StatTrak version for each exterior of Case Hardened, which enables players to track their kills with panache.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear has over 7.8K community votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 of five stars; that says much about the positive sentiment of this skin in the community. Its reputation is even stronger because it was owned by several pro CS2 players, including fer and xfl0ud.

Finish style

Finish style

This ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened-Minimal Wear is pristine in terms of the patina style, with the Case Hardened exterior finish actually emulating well in real life the process in which a hardened shell is formed over the metallic parts. Its pattern index in the finish adds to its uniqueness, influencing the look of it into an outstanding and quite mesmerizing optical effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 267 (4.78%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 255 (0.0746%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 277 (8.71%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 292 (14.6%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players