★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.9 7905 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 21
+12.88%
Last month
$ 56
+43.75%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 201
+3.17%
In a quarter
$ 200
+2.66%
In half a year
$ 218
+11.9%
In a year
$ 285
+46.29%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
50 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 184
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
3 offers
from $ 223
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 225
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
4 offers
from $ 230
Skinport
Skinport
3 offers
from $ 237
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 249
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 255
Steam
Steam
19 offers
from $ 276
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 279
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 184
  • 7 days low: $ 163
  • 7 days high: $ 468
  • 7 days price change: 12.88%
  • 30 days low: $ 128
  • 30 days high: $ 1 180
  • 30 days price change: 43.75%
  • 90 days low: $ 128
  • 90 days high: $ 9 629
  • Year low: $ 128
  • Year high: $ 35 326
  • All time low: $ 125
  • All time high: $ 35 326
  • All time max offers: 174
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 29
  • Sales for last 30 days: 134
  • Sales for last 90 days: 184
  • All time sales: 396
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.371
  • Volatility: 31.23%
  • Liquidity: 4.58%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 201
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 200
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.66%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 218
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 11.9%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 285
  • Price forecast change in a year: 46.29%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 205
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 205
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 214
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.53
4.16%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 205
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 206
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 212
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 214
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.53
4.16%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.53
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 205
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened skin first entered the virtual world of CS2 on May 26th, 2015. On that date, it was released as one of the knife skins in the case of Falchion. This popular and highly sought-after skin immediately became players' darling due to some peculiar blue and gold patterns of different intensities, making it of extreme value in the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened, Well-Worn, is the most rare and popular skin in CS2. This knife can only be pulled from a Falchion Case. Its unique pattern of blue and gold is highly regarded by collectors and enthusiasts alike, showing off the knife's case-hardened surface.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) stands at an impressive popularity rating of 85%, making it one of the trendiest items in the CS2 community. In fact, it belongs to the top percentiles of the most wanted items of this game due to high desirability and value that was determined by its daily sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a skin for the Knife class of weapons that can be acquired in CS2. However, its rarity falls into Covert, meaning this knife is super rare to drop with chances estimated only at 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is highly popular in CS2 and goes for $146.04 to $706.79, which is not as cheap compared to the earlier model. It's still pretty easy to get since it could be purchased from a variety of markets. There are about 7,000 units of this skin, Case Hardened, in CS2 public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened; Well-Worn in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.44, giving it a well-worn look with multiple scratches and wear patterns. This is also available for StatTrak for the Well-Worn case, which will enable players to track their kills with this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) has received a very positive community sentiment, which is already obvious from its high rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars for over 7.8K votes on addskins.gg. Another fact that underlines its popularity is that this skin belongs to such famous CS2 players as fer and xfl0ud, which adds to its popularity among other players.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn Falchion Knife features an extremely attractive, aged "Patina" style via the process of Case Hardening. The Case Hardened finish has a unique pattern index that creates an interestingly wild mix of vibrant blues and undertones of purple, making for an interesting and unique piece.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 201 (3.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 200 (2.66%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 218 (11.9%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 285 (46.29%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players