★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)

4.3 9033 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 14
+5.83%
Last month
$ 111
+77.62%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 292
+13.58%
In a quarter
$ 320
+24.47%
In half a year
$ 351
+36.53%
In a year
$ 327
+27.2%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
218 offers on 11 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
34 offers
from $ 254
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
43 offers
from $ 258
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
10 offers
from $ 260
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
28 offers
from $ 261
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
16 offers
from $ 274
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 280
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
13 offers
from $ 281
Skinport
Skinport
26 offers
from $ 316
Steam
Steam
39 offers
from $ 357
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
5 offers
from $ 449
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 486
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Fade holding ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 254
  • 7 days low: $ 240
  • 7 days high: $ 1 027
  • 7 days price change: 5.83%
  • 30 days low: $ 143
  • 30 days high: $ 1 027
  • 30 days price change: 77.62%
  • 90 days low: $ 143
  • 90 days high: $ 1 892
  • Year low: $ 143
  • Year high: $ 65 929
  • All time low: $ 143
  • All time high: $ 65 929
  • All time max offers: 331
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 82
  • Sales for last 30 days: 491
  • Sales for last 90 days: 635
  • All time sales: 1397
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4268
  • Volatility: 44.73%
  • Liquidity: 4.45%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 292
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.58%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 320
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 24.47%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 351
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 36.53%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 327
  • Price forecast change in a year: 27.2%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 365
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 365
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 364
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.13
-0.30958900%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 198
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 280
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 82.04
41.51%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 365
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 365
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 358
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 359
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 351
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 349
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 348
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 347
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 371
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 372
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 373
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 367
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 366
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 364
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.13
-0.30958900%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 198
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 280
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 82.04
41.51%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 80.91
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 563
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Fade was released to players on May 26th, 2015. It was a part of the Falchion Case and presented a new skin for a knife. Because of its fading pattern and sleek design, this knife didn't take any time to get itself famous among the players.

Origin

Origin

Falchion Knife ★ | Fade is considered the rarest and most valuable skin of a knife in CS2. Players can get it only by opening a container case - Falchion Case. This knife has a really mesmerizing fade pattern-from bright and vivid coloring up to sleek black, that makes this skin one of the most wished among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Fade is a skin of average popularity in CS2. Coming in at a popularity rating of 35%, it does not necessarily have the same hype as many of the other knife skins, but still sees somewhat constant daily sales as well as a very stable market price driving its overall popularity.

Rarity

Rarity

★ Falchion Knife | Fade belongs to the group of 391 other skins for Knife in CS: GO and occupies one of the leading positions in the list of the most popular cosmetic items in the game. Its Covert rarity makes Fade an ultra-rare drop with an approximate drop chance of only 0.26 percent, if not more.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Falchion Knife | Fade in Factory New condition is a high-tier skin, going for $339.48-$374.12. While expensive, it's relatively easy to obtain, as it's available in more than a few markets. Additionally, the total number of units of Fade that exist in public CS2 inventories is around 7.3K, so this skin is rather common.

Versions

Versions

The ★ Falchion Knife | Fade in Factory New condition has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.08, resulting in an appearance that is absolutely perfect with no scratches or marks. In addition, collectors are able to get a version with StatTrak and the very same amazing pattern of Fade when factory new.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

★ Falchion Knife | Fade received more than 9K votes on addskins.gg. With such a number of votes, this skin received an average rating of 4.3 out of 5 stars, which makes it really popular among players.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Falchion Knife has a really striking "Anodized Airbrushed" look to it, as it wears the Fade finish-a finish which invokes the process of applying a candy coat by masterful freehand airbrushing. Adding another touch of uniqueness to the pattern index of this knife is how it affects the look of the Fade finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 292 (13.58%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 320 (24.47%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 351 (36.53%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 327 (27.2%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class