★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)

4.7 7178 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 19.88
+24.21%
Last month
$ 38.03
+59.45%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 102
+21.17%
In a quarter
$ 101
+19.98%
In half a year
$ 101
+19.98%
In a year
$ 108
+28.3%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
51 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 102
White.Market
White.Market
10 offers
from $ 103
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
3 offers
from $ 104
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
12 offers
from $ 105
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
9 offers
from $ 105
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 150
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
7 offers
from $ 152
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat holding ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 102
  • 24h price change: 21.17%
  • 7 days low: $ 82.12
  • 7 days high: $ 220
  • 7 days price change: 24.21%
  • 30 days low: $ 63.97
  • 30 days high: $ 256
  • 30 days price change: 59.45%
  • 90 days low: $ 63.97
  • 90 days high: $ 321
  • Year low: $ 63.97
  • Year high: $ 23 130
  • All time low: $ 63.97
  • All time high: $ 23 130
  • All time max offers: 75
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 60
  • Sales for last 90 days: 80
  • All time sales: 154
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.061
  • Volatility: 23.35%
  • Liquidity: 4.13%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 102
  • Price forecast change in a month: 21.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 101
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 19.98%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 101
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 19.98%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 108
  • Price forecast change in a year: 28.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 130
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 130
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -3.93
-3.02%
Result
👎 Fail
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 130
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 130
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 130
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 93.89
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 93.89
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -3.93
-3.02%
Result
👎 Fail
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 130
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 130
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 105
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -3.93
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 130
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

This worn ★ Falchion Knife takes its cue from the elegance of the falchion sword: it has a curved clip point blade that is still functional beneath its rusted outer skin. Its weathered look boldly reflects the unapologetic nature of those who wear their darker sides on their sleeves.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat was first added to CS2 on March 15th, 2017, when it was released as part of the Spectrum 2 Case. This skin's worn-and-weary look rapidly gained a lot of popularity with its addition of some actual grime into the clean game.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is one of the rarest skins in CS2, and can only be dropped by opening a Spectrum 2 Case or Spectrum Case container. Other than this, this unique knife skin has no collections and is found only by collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The most in demand among CS2 players is the ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat(Well-Worn), being wanted with a rating of 95%. Its desirability comes from the amount sold daily and the skin price, placing this skin in the top ranks.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is one of only 391 other Knife skins, making it one of the highly coveted in CS2. Having a rarity classification of Covert, this skin is ultra rare, and falls at an approximate drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat(Well-Worn) is relatively cheap, ranging from $92.62 to $192.32. Its availability in many markets makes it not that hard to obtain. Besides, there are 10.1K units of the Rust Coat in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float Value: The float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat is between 0.40 and 1.00. This means that it is available in both Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred conditions, each varying in wear and rust levels. Furthermore, for each of these diversified outdoors, a StatTrak version exists to enable special tracking in addition to the unique, rusted look.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat has never failed to amass a good reputation among players in the CS2 community. This knife has more than 7.1K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its distinctive rusted look seems to strike a chord in players' minds because this is a pretty sought-after knife skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Falchion Knife | Rust Coat has a gray-mottled color scheme with hints of brown and orange, a lot like the natural wear and tear of weathering and oxidation would turn out on the metal. The pattern index for the Rust Coat finish is different each time; no two knives will ever be exactly the same, adding uniqueness and flair to an already great blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 102 (21.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 101 (19.98%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 101 (19.98%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 108 (28.3%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.42
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class