★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)

4.9 4888 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 72
+37.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 258
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 197
0.0%
In half a year
$ 112
0.0%
In a year
$ 219
0.0%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
84% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
Inspect skin
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched holding ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 266
  • 7 days low: $ 266
  • 7 days high: $ 266
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 194
  • 30 days high: $ 531
  • 30 days price change: 37.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 175
  • 90 days high: $ 699
  • Year low: $ 15.35
  • Year high: $ 699
  • All time low: $ 15.35
  • All time high: $ 699
  • All time max offers: 9
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1
  • Sales for last 90 days: 9
  • All time sales: 16
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: -2.72
  • Volatility: 11.91%
  • Liquidity: 2.28%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 258
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 197
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 112
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 219
  • Price forecast change in a year: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 15.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.35
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 240
1561.24%
Result
👍 Success
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.35
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 240
1561.24%
Result
👍 Success
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
📉 Sell
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 287
Action
📉 Sell
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 287
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 288
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 294
Action
📉 Sell
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 256
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 240
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 15.35
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
19
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

The Factory New Falchion Knife was named for an ancient sword of that name and has a clip point blade with an elegantly curved edge. The blade is painted with a striking pattern resembling sunlight through the trees. It's not destruction, but rebirth, renovation, "for it's only in cleanse and fire that we may be remade whole and new," said Valeria Jenner, Revolutionary.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched entered the world of CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it joined in with the other knife skins released for the Falchion Case. This knife is one of the most stylish and sleek in-game, having a great scorch pattern which really makes its factory new condition pop.

Origin

Origin

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched is a yellow skin of the knife, which appeared in the game after the update and can be opened by using a container Falchion Case. The skin being scorched gave a perfect opportunity for developers to make some really realistic features - it has burns and it is a bit charred on the edge; all this makes this weapon unique and weathered.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched is extremely popular and has a rating of 90% in popularity. Due to this fact, its desirability reflects in the daily sales volume and price, placing it among the most coveted items in the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched is one of the 391 other Knife skins, making it very rare to see. Being of Covert rarity, this skin is ultra-rare, and its only 0.26% drop chance makes it highly desired from any collector or player.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched is a rather affordable skin, having prices that float between $88.00 and $183.00. It is also easily available due to the fact that it's listed on multiple markets and there are currently 6.9K units of the Scorched in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched: 0.06 - 0.80. A player can get this skin in any exterior variation, starting with Factory New and ending with Battle-Scarred. Additionally, one will be able to get a StatTrak version of Scorched for each exterior, adding some sort of individuality to the collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Falchion Knife | Scorched has the highest possible community sentiment: having more than 4.8K votes on addskins.gg, it has scored a spectacular average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its Factory New quality has just been ideal so far, reaching one of the top places in the ranking of the most popular knife skins in the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

Scorched Finish A factory new ★ Falchion Knife with the Scorched finish has a spray-painted design in stencil pattern and is mainly different shades of gray. This skin's look depends on the pattern index for its appearance. This will make every knife differently unique from other knives.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 258 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 197 (0.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 112 (0.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 219 (0.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class