FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)

4.4 2701 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5.17
+11.91%
Last month
$ 24.95
+106%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 40.25
-19.76%
In a quarter
$ 28.18
-43.82%
In half a year
$ 31.03
-38.14%
In a year
$ 54.71
+9.07%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
70% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
382 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 49.99
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from $ 53.19
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from $ 56.73
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from $ 57.49
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21 offers
from $ 57.7
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55 offers
from $ 62.07
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43 offers
from $ 71.72
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6 offers
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Inspect skin
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Gallery
FAMAS | Commemoration inspecting FAMAS | Commemoration reloading FAMAS | Commemoration holding FAMAS | Commemoration pose-1 FAMAS | Commemoration pose-2 FAMAS | Commemoration pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 48.59
  • 24h price change: 1.72%
  • 7 days low: $ 43.42
  • 7 days high: $ 15 307
  • 7 days price change: 11.91%
  • 30 days low: $ 23.64
  • 30 days high: $ 15 421
  • 30 days price change: 106%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.83
  • 90 days high: $ 40 000
  • Year low: $ 10.64
  • Year high: $ 40 000
  • All time low: $ 10.64
  • All time high: $ 40 000
  • All time max offers: 677
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 40
  • Sales for last 7 days: 451
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2388
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3363
  • All time sales: 7879
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1769
  • Volatility: 100.0%
  • Liquidity: 4.06%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 40.25
  • Price forecast change in a month: -19.76%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 28.18
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -43.82%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 31.03
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -38.14%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 54.71
  • Price forecast change in a year: 9.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 17.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 15.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.66
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.83
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.17
1.09%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 20.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.9
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 25.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.35
20.81%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 28.65
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.67
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 33.4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.73
30.11%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 15.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.66
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.37
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 16.44
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 16.35
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.83
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.17
1.09%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 20.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.9
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 25.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.35
20.81%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 28.65
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.67
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.77
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 23.64
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 30.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 33.4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.73
30.11%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 47.78
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 12.25
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 62.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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FAMAS | Afterimage
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Afterimage
Factory New
4.4 8262
In a year 40%
FAMAS | Afterimage
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FAMAS
Afterimage
Field-Tested
$ 26.43
36%
From last month
203 offers on 9 markets
4.4 8151
In a year 40%
FAMAS | Afterimage
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FAMAS
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Minimal Wear
4.8 632098
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Industrial Grade
Normal
FAMAS
CaliCamo
4.8 632147
In a year 52%
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Industrial Grade
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FAMAS
CaliCamo
Battle-Scarred
$ 2.76
62%
From last month
57 offers on 9 markets
4.8 632159
In a year -34%
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Industrial Grade
Normal
FAMAS
CaliCamo
Field-Tested
4.8 632031
In a year 43%
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Industrial Grade
Normal
FAMAS
CaliCamo
Well-Worn
$ 2.82
44%
From last week
38 offers on 7 markets
4.6 4042
In a year 87%
FAMAS | Colony
Consumer Grade
Normal
FAMAS
Colony
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.02
100%
From last week
4202 offers on 7 markets
4.6 4003
In a year 164%
FAMAS | Colony
Consumer Grade
Normal
FAMAS
Colony
Factory New
$ 0.44
33%
From last month
197 offers on 8 markets
4.6 3910
In a year 142%
FAMAS | Colony
Consumer Grade
Normal
FAMAS
Colony
Field-Tested
$ 0.02
186%
From last month
12275 offers on 8 markets
4.6 3944
In a year 128%
FAMAS | Colony
Consumer Grade
Normal
FAMAS
Colony
Minimal Wear
$ 0.03
58%
From last month
1997 offers on 7 markets
4.6 3952
In a year 156%
FAMAS | Colony
Consumer Grade
Normal
FAMAS
Colony
Well-Worn
$ 0.02
54%
From last month
2742 offers on 7 markets
4.4 2739
In half a year -60%
FAMAS | Commemoration
Covert
Normal
FAMAS
Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
$ 34.28
432%
From last month
73 offers on 9 markets
4.4 2729
In half a year -60%
FAMAS | Commemoration
Covert
Normal
FAMAS
Commemoration
Field-Tested
$ 29
321%
From last month
598 offers on 10 markets

Description

The FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) is an economically suitable option, finding the perfect middle ground between those costlier rifles and weaker SMGs for players on shoestring budgets. This version is covertly painted in gold, and its highly detailed custom job pays homage to 20 years of Counter-Strike in beautiful fashion, a testament to a legacy that will last another 20 years or more.

History

History

The FAMAS | Commemoration appeared for the first time in the CS2 community on October 18th, 2019, accompanying the release of the CS20 Case. This Factory New skin, created by the amazingly talented community artist Ezikyl, turned out to be highly popular among players because of its sleek modern look.

Origin

Origin

The FAMAS | Commemoration, Factory New, is an extremely rare skin that can only be pulled from a container, a CS20 Case. It is one of the high-quality items of the CS20 Collection, celebrating twenty years of excellence Counter-Strike.

Popularity

Popularity

This popularity of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) has reached as high as 95% in the CS2 community. Very well-liked and sold, this makes it one of the highest-demand items in the game-the fact that its market price is on the rise further supports this fact.

Rarity

Rarity

FAMAS | Commemoration Factory New is part of the 255 available skins for rifles in CS: GO. Being of Covert quality, this is one of the rarest drop skins within the game, only coming around once in every 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) is a relatively cheap skin, as its cost ranges from $10.34 to $67.88. Now this skin is represented in a few markets, which makes buying it problem-free. Moreover, with 129.3K units in public CS2 inventories, this is a highly popular skin in the gaming community.

Versions

Versions

The float value of FAMAS | Commemoration ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which means pulling the skin in any condition is possible. This skin does have a StatTrak option and a StatTrak variant available in each exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

FAMAS | Commemoration enjoys high community approval, having been voted a total of times on addskins.gg, giving it a rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Further proof of its popularity are the fact that it forms part of popular professional CS2 players' inventories, such as fallen, s1mple, and jdm64.

Finish style

Finish style

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) is a CS2 skin with the Gunsmith style and inimitable mixture of patina with custom paint techniques. Its bright yellow tint prevails on the skin, while the pattern index does not change the skin view of Commemoration.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 40.25 (-19.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 28.18 (-43.82%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 31.03 (-38.14%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 54.71 (9.07%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class