★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

4.4 7050 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+4.1%
Last month
$ 26
+25.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 149
+13.26%
In a quarter
$ 172
+30.75%
In half a year
$ 189
+43.67%
In a year
$ 157
+19.35%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
38% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
211 offers on 11 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 127
  • 24h price change: 4.1%
  • 7 days low: $ 122
  • 7 days high: $ 990
  • 7 days price change: 4.1%
  • 30 days low: $ 101
  • 30 days high: $ 990
  • 30 days price change: 25.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 101
  • 90 days high: $ 990
  • Year low: $ 101
  • Year high: $ 34 509
  • All time low: $ 101
  • All time high: $ 34 509
  • All time max offers: 540
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 17
  • Sales for last 7 days: 184
  • Sales for last 30 days: 869
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1122
  • All time sales: 2253
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.55
  • Volatility: 45.99%
  • Liquidity: 4.43%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 149
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 172
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 30.75%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 189
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 43.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 157
  • Price forecast change in a year: 19.35%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 200
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2
-1.00%
Result
👎 Fail
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 213
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 150
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 200
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 193
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 181
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2
-1.00%
Result
👎 Fail
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 213
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 150
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -2
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 350
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
38%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 108
47%
From last month
98 offers on 9 markets
4.8 7768
In half a year 57%
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ Gut Knife
Autotronic
Field-Tested
$ 95.82
32%
From last month
259 offers on 11 markets
4.8 7767
In half a year 36%
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ Gut Knife
Autotronic
Minimal Wear
$ 120
58%
From last month
58 offers on 9 markets
$ 65.05
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.66
35%
From last month
117 offers on 9 markets
$ 101
35%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade dropped in the CS2 community on 8th January 2015, when the new knife skin was introduced along with the Chroma 3 Case. That eye-catching knife got very popular rather fast due to its unique and mesmerizing marble fade pattern; it is now one of the sought-after items among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade is a skin for the knife that opens only from a Chroma 2 Case, Chroma 3 Case, or Chroma Case container while playing CS2. Indeed extraordinary, this skin comes from no collection; hence, its drop makes it highly wanted and super rare.

Popularity

Popularity

The reason is that Gut Knife | Marble Fade Factory New has an extremely high popularity rating in the CS2 universe, close to 95%. You can understand that by the number of items sold from skins of this type and the rather high market value of them; that is the reason why it's one of the most wanted things in this game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade Factory New is one of the 391 other skins available for the Knife in CS2; nevertheless, its rarity is classified as Covert, making it ultra-rare. At an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%, getting a Factory New Marble Fade is an exceptionally great pull.

Availability

Availability

The Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is one of the most popular CS2 skins. Its price goes from $192.38 and up to $399.00, which means it's relatively expensive. This skin is available on multiple markets, and there are around 7.9K units of the Marble Fade in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Floating values of the ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade range from 0.00-0.08 for Factory New, which would feature no wear whatsoever. For true collectors, a Factory New StatTrak version of the Marble Fade exists.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

In the CS2 community, one of the most interesting skins is ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New); on addskins.gg alone, it has received over 6.9K votes at an average of 4.4 out of 5 stars because it has received very high praise for its design and quality.

Finish style

Finish style

This Gut Knife features a fantastic "Marble Fade" finish, whereby a bright array of colors blends together with a mesmerizing pattern suggestive of swirling marble. Multi-colored patterns can be achieved in the application of the candy coat by techniques such as silk-screening or with adherable stencils for truly unique and catchy designs. The pattern index provides the overall look of the Marble Fade finish, ensuring that each knife is unique and visually stunning in its own combination of colors.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 149 (13.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 172 (30.75%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 189 (43.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 157 (19.35%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class