★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.4 10249 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 774
+47.48%
Last month
$ 774
+47.48%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 299
-4.62%
In a quarter
$ 2 199
-8.77%
In half a year
$ 2 373
-1.55%
In a year
$ 3 793
+57.35%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
25 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 2 797
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3 offers
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5 offers
from $ 2 798
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6 offers
from $ 2 961
CSGO.COM
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3 offers
from $ 3 399
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1 offers
from $ 4 992
Inspect skin
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Karambit | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Karambit | Case Hardened holding ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2 404
  • 7 days low: $ 1 630
  • 7 days high: $ 4 992
  • 7 days price change: 47.48%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 630
  • 30 days high: $ 20 733
  • 30 days price change: 47.48%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 630
  • 90 days high: $ 21 070
  • Year low: $ 1 513
  • Year high: $ 3 255 840
  • All time low: $ 1 430
  • All time high: $ 3 255 840
  • All time max offers: 42
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1
  • All time sales: 6
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.37
  • Volatility: 8.2%
  • Liquidity: 2.07%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 299
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.62%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2 199
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.77%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2 373
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -1.55%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3 793
  • Price forecast change in a year: 57.35%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 264
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 079
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 079
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2 264
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 079
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 079
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 869
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1 925
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 925
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 055
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 228
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2 338
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 325
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 264
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 219
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 177
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 121
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 237
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 834
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2 410
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2 079
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is one of the most popular knife skins in CS2. It was released on August 14th, 2013, with "The Arms Deal" update, one of the most important updates in the history of the game, which generally introduced skins to players. The specific pattern of blue gems across the blade and handle, titled "Case Hardened," served as an instant indicator of its rare and high value to those who played.

Origin

Origin

First off, the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is among the most rarely dropped skins in CS2 and originally emanated from only a few containers. Containers such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3 have given players the opportunity to attain this rare skin by opening the container. Unlike skins from other series, the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened doesn't belong to any collection, making it highly exclusive and pricey.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a high desirability with a popularity of 90%. That demand is great by the high volume of sales being done each day, and this skin was sold at a premium in the CS2 market. This makes this skin be among the highly desirable skins that any player would want to own.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a skin from CS2 and falls in the group of 391 other Knife skins. This skin has a Covert rarity classification, which makes it ultra rare, and it is estimated that its drop chance is only 0.26%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the CS2 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, so this skin might actually have every possible exterior-from factory new to just slightly used. Collectors and real enthusiasts can enjoy an option of the StatTrak version for Case Hardened, adding the counter feature to this already legendary knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened Factory New has had an extremely positive sentiment in the community, with more than 10.2K votes in addskins.gg and a very strong average of 4.4 out of 5 stars. This is further emphasized by the ownership of this knife by prominent professional CS2 players tarik and shroud.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Karambit boasts a highly-sought Case Hardened finish and features an extremely captivating pattern index, adding even more character to the blade. Bright blues mix with flecks of gold and purple to create a truly striking visual appeal that is highly prized-similar to that of a very rare and well-worn firearm.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2 299 (-4.62%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2 199 (-8.77%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2 373 (-1.55%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3 793 (57.35%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.