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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is one of the most popular knife skins in CS2. It was released on August 14th, 2013, with "The Arms Deal" update, one of the most important updates in the history of the game, which generally introduced skins to players. The specific pattern of blue gems across the blade and handle, titled "Case Hardened," served as an instant indicator of its rare and high value to those who played.
First off, the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is among the most rarely dropped skins in CS2 and originally emanated from only a few containers. Containers such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3 have given players the opportunity to attain this rare skin by opening the container. Unlike skins from other series, the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened doesn't belong to any collection, making it highly exclusive and pricey.
The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a high desirability with a popularity of 90%. That demand is great by the high volume of sales being done each day, and this skin was sold at a premium in the CS2 market. This makes this skin be among the highly desirable skins that any player would want to own.
The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a skin from CS2 and falls in the group of 391 other Knife skins. This skin has a Covert rarity classification, which makes it ultra rare, and it is estimated that its drop chance is only 0.26%.
The float value of the CS2 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, so this skin might actually have every possible exterior-from factory new to just slightly used. Collectors and real enthusiasts can enjoy an option of the StatTrak version for Case Hardened, adding the counter feature to this already legendary knife skin.
The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened Factory New has had an extremely positive sentiment in the community, with more than 10.2K votes in addskins.gg and a very strong average of 4.4 out of 5 stars. This is further emphasized by the ownership of this knife by prominent professional CS2 players tarik and shroud.
This Factory New Karambit boasts a highly-sought Case Hardened finish and features an extremely captivating pattern index, adding even more character to the blade. Bright blues mix with flecks of gold and purple to create a truly striking visual appeal that is highly prized-similar to that of a very rare and well-worn firearm.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2 299 (-4.62%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2 199 (-8.77%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2 373 (-1.55%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3 793 (57.35%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.











Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.