M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)

4.9 6908 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.36
+13.28%
Last month
$ 8.87
+31.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 34.57
-4.71%
In a quarter
$ 35.58
-1.93%
In half a year
$ 41.24
+13.67%
In a year
$ 62.75
+72.96%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
294 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Bright Water inspecting M4A1-S | Bright Water reloading M4A1-S | Bright Water holding M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 37.18
  • 24h price change: 3.51%
  • 7 days low: $ 32.82
  • 7 days high: $ 800
  • 7 days price change: 13.28%
  • 30 days low: $ 28.31
  • 30 days high: $ 4 107
  • 30 days price change: 31.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 28.31
  • 90 days high: $ 4 107
  • Year low: $ 23.28
  • Year high: $ 21 163
  • All time low: $ 18.18
  • All time high: $ 21 163
  • All time max offers: 776
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 68
  • Sales for last 30 days: 297
  • Sales for last 90 days: 685
  • All time sales: 1801
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 2.52
  • Volatility: 13.08%
  • Liquidity: 8.54%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 34.57
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.71%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 35.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.93%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 41.24
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 13.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 62.75
  • Price forecast change in a year: 72.96%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 33.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 31.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 31.97
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 33.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 32.2
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 31.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 31.97
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 29.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 29.99
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 31.85
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 31.74
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 34.42
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 38.59
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 37.8
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 40.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 34.45
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 36.72
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 37.9
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 33.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 36.49
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 31.97
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Bright Water is a silenced rifle with superior controllability and accuracy due to its reduced recoil and greater precision. In addition, its striking blue camo hydrographic paint job brings style and visibility to this piece, making this weapon highly visible on the battlefield for those who enjoy a mix of stealth and aesthetics.

History

History

M4A1-S | Bright Water first appeared in CS2 on September 19th, 2013, with the release of the Operation Bravo Case after the "Operation Bravo" update. This skin was so visually bold due to its water-like coloring that it quickly gained many players and turned it into an impressive skin among the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Bright Water is acquired via the opening of an Operation Bravo Case container, bringing a splash of vibrant elegance to the arsenal. This skin belongs to the Bravo Collection, which is a series of visually stunning finishes that were introduced during the event of Operation Bravo within Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A1-S | Bright Water stands at a high popular rating of 90% within the community of CS2 and is one of the most pursued items in the game. That fact is reflected in its daily sales volume and the very high market price, which has managed to etch this skin as one of the most desired within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

Having a restricted rarity, the M4A1-S | Bright Water belongs to a group of 255 other Rifle skins and therefore can be judged as relatively rare in CS2. So, it is further underlined by an estimated drop chance of 15.98% for Bright Water.

Versions

Versions

The float value of M4A1-S | Bright Water ranges from 0.10 to 0.22, which means buyers can get the skin in both Minimal Wear and Field-Tested conditions. There is also a StatTrak version for each exterior option available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

First off, the M4A1-S | Bright Water skin pulls in a lot of favor within the CS2 community, as the majority of 6.9K votes on addskins.gg gave it a near-perfect rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Also, its ownership among well-known professional players such as mixwell, chrisj, and furlan proves just how desirable and appealing this skin can be in the competitive scene.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index decides on brightness and placing for the blue tint of this Bright Water finish, which is just unique and full of dynamics. Hydrographic skin techniques created the impression of parts of a weapon being dismantled and plunged into water, so this was a design impressively striking and realistic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 34.57 (-4.71%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 35.58 (-1.93%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 41.24 (13.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 62.75 (72.96%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.18
Max: 0.22
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.