M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7016 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.3
+22.23%
Last month
$ 16.12
+67.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 37.82
-4.74%
In a quarter
$ 42.25
+6.42%
In half a year
$ 50.97
+28.39%
In a year
$ 88.11
+122.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
94% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1226 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Bright Water inspecting M4A1-S | Bright Water reloading M4A1-S | Bright Water holding M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 40.14
  • 24h price change: 1.11%
  • 7 days low: $ 32.84
  • 7 days high: $ 5 856
  • 7 days price change: 22.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 24.02
  • 30 days high: $ 5 899
  • 30 days price change: 67.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 24.02
  • 90 days high: $ 5 929
  • Year low: $ 23.61
  • Year high: $ 10 000
  • All time low: $ 18.93
  • All time high: $ 10 000
  • All time max offers: 1251
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 24
  • Sales for last 7 days: 179
  • Sales for last 30 days: 813
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1803
  • All time sales: 4918
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 5.58
  • Volatility: 12.87%
  • Liquidity: 8.86%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 37.82
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 42.25
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 6.42%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 50.97
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.39%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 88.11
  • Price forecast change in a year: 122.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 36.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 33.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.85
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 42.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.92
26.35%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 53.89
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 36.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 33.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.85
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 37.58
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 34.75
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 32.35
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 34.74
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 42.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.92
26.35%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 53.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 53.89
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 52.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 45.1
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 41.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 50.78
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 32.33
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 43.89
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.92
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 87.74
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
94%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Bright Water is a $20-tournament-prize skin featuring improved control and precision, thanks to reduced recoil and enhanced accuracy when suppressed. The hydrographic design in bright blue camo resembles the ocean waters and adds intrigue with style to any arsenal.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Bright Water first appeared in the CS2 community on September 19th, 2013, when it was released as a new skin in the Operation Bravo Case during the "Operation Bravo" update. Since then, it has grown into one of the most wanted skins due to its colorful aquatic design, and it constantly remains one of the popular choices for players wanting to make their M4A1-S a little more stylish.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Bright Water is a very striking skin that is expressly pulled from an Operation Bravo Case container, which is a more exclusive way of getting the skin. It also belongs to the collection The Bravo Collection, which underlines a part of its origins to a specific collection within the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Bright Water Minimal Wear gained the incredible popularity of 90% among CS2 players and became one of the most demanded skins in the game. It is highly popular; this skin is considered to have a very big sales volume and at the same time, a rather high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A1-S | Bright Water Minimal Wear is one of 255 other Rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin is of Restricted rarity, which makes it rather rare; the drop chance for this skin is at 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The float values of the M4A1-S | Bright Water range between 0.10-0.22 for the Minimal Wear state; it has very minor wear marks while the Field-Tested variant will feature slightly more wear and tear. With that said, for every exterior condition of this Bright Water skin, a StatTrak version also exists for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Finally, if we go to addskins.gg, then in terms of community sentiment about M4A1-S | Bright Water in CS2, we have an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on over 6.9K votes. Further, in bringing the bright water into your gaming sessions, you have owners and users of this skin like pro players mixwell, chrisj, and furlan.

Finish style

Finish style

The hydrographic pattern style used in this M4A1-S | Bright Water Minimal Wear consists of dipping parts of the weapon in a water tank, and a floating film covers the top surface of the water. It sticks to the surface, forming a pattern. The predominant color of this skin is an attractive blue shade, while the pattern index gives the skin its overall look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 37.82 (-4.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 42.25 (6.42%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 50.97 (28.39%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 88.11 (122.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.12
Max: 0.22
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.