M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)

4.4 7881 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 6.32
+9.03%
Last month
$ 16.65
+27.9%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 78.57
+4.11%
In a quarter
$ 83.44
+10.56%
In half a year
$ 89.65
+18.79%
In a year
$ 91.1
+20.71%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
477 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Dark Water inspecting M4A1-S | Dark Water reloading M4A1-S | Dark Water holding M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 76.33
  • 24h price change: 2.2%
  • 7 days low: $ 70.01
  • 7 days high: $ 1 538
  • 7 days price change: 9.03%
  • 30 days low: $ 59.68
  • 30 days high: $ 1 553
  • 30 days price change: 27.9%
  • 90 days low: $ 59.68
  • 90 days high: $ 1 556
  • Year low: $ 59.68
  • Year high: $ 40 698
  • All time low: $ 49.32
  • All time high: $ 40 698
  • All time max offers: 543
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 74
  • Sales for last 30 days: 296
  • Sales for last 90 days: 524
  • All time sales: 1397
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.81
  • Volatility: 19.48%
  • Liquidity: 9.09%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 78.57
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 83.44
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 10.56%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 89.65
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 18.79%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 91.1
  • Price forecast change in a year: 20.71%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 94.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 95.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 95.23
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 94.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 95.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 95.23
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 85.24
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 75.36
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 76.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 72.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 78
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 76.81
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 82.74
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 83.17
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 82.49
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 78.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 78.19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 82.65
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 76.1
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 76.45
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 95.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Dark Water has reduced magazine capacity compared to its unsuppressed brother and promises sneaky gunfire, better control, and precision. This is one of those striking designs with intricate aquatic stripes, featuring layers of charcoal metallic paints of varying reflectivities over a sleek chrome base coat and further reminding us that water can both keep and douse life.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Dark Water was first announced as a highly sought-after skin on the virtual battlegrounds of CS2 on August 14th, 2013. It popped out from CS2 Weapon Case and created waves along with "The Arms Deal" update, attracting gamers by its mysterious-sleek design.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Dark Water is one of the most popular skins in CS2, obtained through the opening of a CS2 Weapon Case container that contains a drop chance for this particular skin. This skin belongs to a very special collection of weapon finishes entitled The Arms Deal Collection, which players are able to collect and trade within the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Dark Water has the highest popularity rate of 95% and is currently standing among the most wanted CS2 items just because it has a high volume of sales every day and is considered to be one of the most expensive skins.

Rarity

Rarity

Falling into the Rare category of restricted rarity, this skin has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, and it shares its privileges with 255 other Rifle skins, making it relatively uncommon to get in CS2.

Versions

Versions

Field-Tested version will have a float value from 0.10 to 0.26, allowing the player to get M4A1-S | Dark Water both in Minimal Wear and in Field-Tested conditions. Secondly, each exterior presented for this skin is available, including the Dark Water StatTrak variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Dark Water has a pretty high community sentiment in CS2, having an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. It's pretty cool to know its ownership includes professional CS2 players like xyp9x, happy, and tarik.

Finish style

Finish style

The Dark Water finish on this M4A1-S is mainly gray, with tints of other colors mixed into the pattern. A lot of the aesthetic with the finish would have to do with the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 78.57 (4.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 83.44 (10.56%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 89.65 (18.79%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 91.1 (20.71%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.2
Max: 0.26
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players