M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)

4.4 7837 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+5%
Last month
$ 43.86
+71.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 103
-2.52%
In a quarter
$ 105
-0.62%
In half a year
$ 117
+10.73%
In a year
$ 154
+45.75%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
480 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Dark Water inspecting M4A1-S | Dark Water reloading M4A1-S | Dark Water holding M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 105
  • 7 days low: $ 100
  • 7 days high: $ 40 000
  • 7 days price change: 5%
  • 30 days low: $ 61.14
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 71.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 61.14
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 61.14
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 54.38
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 518
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 104
  • Sales for last 30 days: 416
  • Sales for last 90 days: 894
  • All time sales: 2449
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.19
  • Volatility: 16.04%
  • Liquidity: 9.55%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 103
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.52%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 105
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -0.62%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 117
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.73%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 154
  • Price forecast change in a year: 45.75%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 97.61
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 93.8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 93.8
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 97.61
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 93.8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 93.8
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 97.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 85.4
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 85.4
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 91.99
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 92.27
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 107
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 96.42
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 93.42
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 109
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 89.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 107
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 93.8
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The silenced version of its brother, the M4A1-S | Dark Water has reduced recoil and better accuracy with the smaller magazine. This striking aquatic-stripe pattern, achieved with variously reflective charcoal metallic paints on a chrome base coat, is an unsettling reminder that the very substance that gives life can also herald destruction.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Dark Water was one of the new additions to hit the virtual battlegrounds of CS2 on August 14th, 2013. It came out of the CS2 Weapon Case, a collection of firearms that came along with "The Arms Deal" update, offering the players an absolutely sleek yet menacing alternative for their covert operations.

Origin

Origin

M4A1-S | Dark Water-another skin that one can get by opening any container CS2 Weapon Case to add this rare design to their collection. Additionally, it belongs to the collection 'The Arms Deal Collection', which collectors and enthusiasts in the CS2 community have an interest in.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Dark Water Minimal Wear is a very popular skin, as its popularity level is 95%, which brings this skin to the league of the hottest items in the CS2 skin repository. Its desirability is predetermined by its high daily sales volume and a premium price in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Dark Water Minimal Wear is counted as one of 255 different rifle skins in the Featured CS: GO video game. Still, its rareness is tagged under Restricted, meaning the skin is relatively uncommon to drop and is forecasted at 15.98% for drop chance.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A1-S | Dark Water for Minimal Wear condition is from 0.10 to 0.26. This is so the players can have a well-maintained appearance and only have minor signs of wear. A StatTrak version is also available to collectors for every exterior variant of the skin Dark Water, adding a hint of tracking excitement within their arsenal.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Dark Water attracts a lot of attention within the CS2 community, as more than 21,765 people voted on addskins.gg, and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by ownership from ace professional players like xyp9x, happy, and tarik.

Finish style

Finish style

Featured on this M4A1-S, the Dark Water finish generally features gray as the dominant color with subliminal variations and hints of other colors. The pattern index makes a significant appearance and gives it a unique and realistic touch.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 103 (-2.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 105 (-0.62%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 117 (10.73%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 154 (45.75%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.12
Max: 0.26
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players