M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)

5.0 8739 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 21
+4.14%
Last month
$ 222
+72.55%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 465
-10.69%
In a quarter
$ 718
+37.91%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1390 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Fade inspecting M4A1-S | Fade reloading M4A1-S | Fade holding M4A1-S | Fade pose-1 M4A1-S | Fade pose-2 M4A1-S | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 528
  • 24h price change: 3.12%
  • 7 days low: $ 507
  • 7 days high: $ 10 247
  • 7 days price change: 4.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 306
  • 30 days high: $ 59 869
  • 30 days price change: 72.55%
  • 90 days low: $ 306
  • 90 days high: $ 59 869
  • Year low: $ 306
  • Year high: $ 79 500
  • All time low: $ 306
  • All time high: $ 79 500
  • All time max offers: 1763
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 25
  • Sales for last 7 days: 243
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1046
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2307
  • All time sales: 6243
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.5
  • Volatility: 22.4%
  • Liquidity: 19.33%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 465
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.69%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 718
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 37.91%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 456
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 434
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 461
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 456
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 456
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 434
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 435
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 467
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 525
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 526
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 545
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 614
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 596
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 461
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 512
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 461
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Fade was first introduced to CS2 5 years ago, on June 6th, 2016. It was released as part of the "Fade Collection" update, adding a sleek and colorful skin to the game's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Fade for CS2 was introduced on January 8, 2015, as part of The Chroma Collection. It features a sleek design with a fade pattern that transitions from purple to yellow, making it a highly sought-after skin among players.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 95%, the M4A1-S | Fade in Factory New condition is highly sought after within the CS2 community, making it a top choice among players. This widespread popularity is reflected in its high demand and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Fade is one of the 276 Rifle skins available in CS2. With a rarity level of Covert, this skin is an extremely rare drop, with an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $410.87 and $449.98, the M4A1-S | Fade in Factory New condition commands a premium in the CS2 skin market. Despite its high cost, this sought-after skin remains readily accessible across various platforms, ensuring enthusiasts have ample opportunities to acquire it.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A1-S | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, allowing it to be found in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions, with the Factory New version being the most sought after due to its pristine appearance. The Fade skin for the M4A1-S does not have any StatTrak or Souvenir versions, making it a popular choice among players for its clean and vibrant design.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Fade has garnered significant community praise with a high number of votes on addskins, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is frequently spotted in the inventories of top professional CS2 players, including fer, allu, and shox, further solidifying its popularity among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) features a vibrant "Fade" finish that seamlessly transitions from one color to another with a smooth gradient effect. The finish creates a striking visual impact, with each individual skin having a unique pattern index that influences the appearance of the fade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 465 (-10.69%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 718 (37.91%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.08
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players