M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear)

5.0 7911 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11
+2.09%
Last month
$ 177
+49.03%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 490
-10.43%
In a quarter
$ 766
+40.02%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
148 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Fade inspecting M4A1-S | Fade reloading M4A1-S | Fade holding M4A1-S | Fade pose-1 M4A1-S | Fade pose-2 M4A1-S | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 538
  • 7 days low: $ 527
  • 7 days high: $ 1 171
  • 7 days price change: 2.09%
  • 30 days low: $ 361
  • 30 days high: $ 68 323
  • 30 days price change: 49.03%
  • 90 days low: $ 361
  • 90 days high: $ 68 323
  • Year low: $ 361
  • Year high: $ 209 999
  • All time low: $ 361
  • All time high: $ 209 999
  • All time max offers: 154
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 57
  • Sales for last 90 days: 133
  • All time sales: 346
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.73
  • Volatility: 16.02%
  • Liquidity: 21.93%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 490
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.43%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 766
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 40.02%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 473
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 486
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 539
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 497
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 497
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 473
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 443
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 462
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 447
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 442
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 466
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 486
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 482
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 539
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 557
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 588
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 609
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 612
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 497
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 497
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 547
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 497
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Fade was first introduced to CS2 over 5 years ago, on June 2nd, 2015. It was released as part of the "Chroma Case" update, becoming an instant favorite among players for its vibrant color scheme.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Fade is a rare and sought-after skin in CS2 that cannot be acquired through container openings. Originally introduced as part of a limited-time case, the skin quickly gained popularity for its vibrant fade design and sleek appearance.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Fade in Minimal Wear condition is currently highly sought after, boasting a popularity rating of 95% among CS2 players. This exceptional demand has solidified its position as one of the most coveted skins in the game, as indicated by its daily sales volume and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Fade is one of the 276 Rifle skins available in CS2. Its Covert rarity designates it as an extremely rare drop, with an estimated chance of only 0.64% to obtain in Minimal Wear condition.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $410.87 and $449.98, the M4A1-S | Fade in Minimal Wear condition is considered a high-end skin in CS2. Despite its premium cost, it remains readily accessible and can be found on various trading platforms and community marketplaces.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A1-S | Fade ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, allowing it to be found in Minimal Wear condition. There are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of the Fade available in CS2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Fade has garnered more than 10,000 votes on various CS2 skin platforms, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This skin is highly sought after by both casual players and professionals, with well-known CS2 players like s1mple, Stewie2k, and device showcasing it in their inventories.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear) features a vibrant "Anodized Airbrushed" style with a Fade finish, replicating the application of a candy coat using freehand airbrushing techniques. The appearance of the Fade finish varies depending on the pattern index, creating a unique and eye-catching design for this weapon skin in CS2.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 490 (-10.43%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 766 (40.02%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.08
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players