M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)

4.5 6044 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.33
+8.6%
Last month
$ 10.53
+55.77%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 27.22
-7.48%
In a quarter
$ 26.19
-10.98%
In half a year
$ 31.33
+6.49%
In a year
$ 44.59
+51.56%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
480 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Guardian inspecting M4A1-S | Guardian reloading M4A1-S | Guardian holding M4A1-S | Guardian pose-1 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-2 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 29.41
  • 7 days low: $ 27.08
  • 7 days high: $ 6 191
  • 7 days price change: 8.6%
  • 30 days low: $ 18.88
  • 30 days high: $ 8 293
  • 30 days price change: 55.77%
  • 90 days low: $ 18.88
  • 90 days high: $ 8 293
  • Year low: $ 17.05
  • Year high: $ 14 231
  • All time low: $ 15.35
  • All time high: $ 14 231
  • All time max offers: 549
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 32
  • Sales for last 7 days: 231
  • Sales for last 30 days: 921
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1843
  • All time sales: 4920
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.81
  • Volatility: 10.75%
  • Liquidity: 10.84%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 27.22
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 26.19
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -10.98%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 31.33
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 6.49%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 44.59
  • Price forecast change in a year: 51.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 25.07
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.07
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 25.07
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.07
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 23.53
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 21.7
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 22.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 22.34
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.9
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 22.84
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 27.35
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 30
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 26.76
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 26.22
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.44
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 29.41
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 25.07
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

M4A1-S | Guardian-Minimal Wear A silenced variant of the M4A1, the Guardian features reduced recoil and more accurate control but at a slight cost to magazine capacity. This skin has a cobalt blue paint job, with the CT logo on the magazine. Its allegiance is fully paid to counter-terrorism-to keep operatives safe from harm.

History

History

First introduced in CS2 on December 18th, 2013, M4A1-S | Guardian came as an invention of Winter Offensive Weapon Case after the "Winter Offensive" update. This graphically eye-catching skin was designed by the clearly talented community designer "J4CK" and immediately became one of the hottest choices to boast skill and flair on the virtual battlefield.

Origin

Origin

M4A1-S | Guardian Minimal Wear is a rare skin that can be either obtained by opening a Winter Offensive Weapon Case container, which contains a collection of different skins for various guns, or this particular skin is part of the Winter Offensive Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

For instance, the popularity of M4A1-S | Guardian in CS2 is overwhelming, at about 95%. As a rule, it is characterized by great sales volume and commands a really good price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The drop chance of the M4A1-S | Guardian Minimal Wear is just about 3.2%, which is extremely rare, making it one of 255 rifle skins available in CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A1-S | Guardian Minimal Wear, for example, is included in a range from 0.07 to 0.15, giving this skin minor wear but generally preserving its original design. For all types of exterior skins, a StatTrak variant is available to let players track their kills with this unique skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Guardian has been very popular in the community, with a great number of votes on addskins.gg and a rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Another indication of its strength is that device, xyp9x, and f0rest are just some of the famous professional CS2 players who own this gun.

Finish style

Finish style

M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) - this CS2 skin has "Custom Paint Job" style and Guardian finish. It includes big spectrum of customizable colors, featuring a primary blue tint. As pattern indexes are meaningless with this skin, this doesn't influence the striking Guardian finish at all.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 27.22 (-7.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 26.19 (-10.98%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 31.33 (6.49%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 44.59 (51.56%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.