M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn)

4.5 6012 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 9.66
+52.9%
Last month
$ 9.66
+52.9%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 22.65
-18.73%
In a quarter
$ 22.48
-19.34%
In half a year
$ 26.82
-3.77%
In a year
$ 38.67
+38.75%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
77 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 29.08
White.Market
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from $ 29.08
CSGO.COM
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17 offers
from $ 29.57
ShadowPay
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from $ 30.02
Bitskins
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3 offers
from $ 30.54
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1 offers
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Guardian inspecting M4A1-S | Guardian reloading M4A1-S | Guardian holding M4A1-S | Guardian pose-1 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-2 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 27.92
  • 24h price change: 0.4678%
  • 7 days low: $ 18.26
  • 7 days high: $ 160
  • 7 days price change: 52.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 18.26
  • 30 days high: $ 160
  • 30 days price change: 52.9%
  • 90 days low: $ 18.26
  • 90 days high: $ 230
  • Year low: $ 15.07
  • Year high: $ 4 128
  • All time low: $ 13.26
  • All time high: $ 4 128
  • All time max offers: 206
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 37
  • Sales for last 30 days: 116
  • Sales for last 90 days: 261
  • All time sales: 634
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.53
  • Volatility: 17.19%
  • Liquidity: 9.09%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 22.65
  • Price forecast change in a month: -18.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 22.48
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -19.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 26.82
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -3.77%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 38.67
  • Price forecast change in a year: 38.75%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 23.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.14
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 23.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.14
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 21.78
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 22.19
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 20.91
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 19.94
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 21.13
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 21.78
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 23.84
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.85
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.85
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 20.1
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 22.88
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.61
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 23.85
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 23.14
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor
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M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor
Classified
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99%
From last month
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Classified
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Minimal Wear

Description

Holding fewer rounds in its magazine than its unsilenced counterpart, the M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) has sneakier shots, but better control and coolness. The cobalt blue paint job features the CT logo on the magazine in a nod to the duty of keeping others safe: "This is my duty," says Carmen Cocinero, Extraction Expert.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Guardian was released on December 18th, 2013, with the Winter Offensive Weapon Case on the highly anticipated "Winter Offensive" update. This striking skin is a design of the well-known community artist J4CK and captivated the players right away with its tiny details and iconic guardian motif.

Origin

Origin

M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) was one of the many items introduced through the Winter Offensive Weapon Case, which was opened to reveal skins for a host of different weapons. This particular skin is from the Winter Offensive Collection and adds icy panache to the M4A1-S.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is one of the most sought-after skins in CS: GO, because it enjoys a stratospheric 95% rating. This fact can be well interpreted by its high volume of sales each day, and also with the skin price itself, which makes this skin one of the hottest items in this game.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A1-S | Guardian skin, Well-Worn is one of 255 rifle skins present in CS2. It is a rare drop, with an estimated drop chance being only 3.2%, one of the high-demand and very rare drops.

Versions

Versions

M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.50, meaning that players will be able to get their hands on this skin in different wear conditions. Moreover, a StatTrak version of the Guardian will allow collectors to find it in all exteriors and enable tracking kills with this visually remarkable rifle.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Guardian received quite positive community sentiments, which is reflected by the number of votes on addskins.gg, corresponding to an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its ownership by such famous CS: GO players as device, xyp9x, and f0rest confirms its popularity more than once.

Finish style

Finish style

Guardian finish - the skin M4A1-S | Guardian in CS2 has "Custom Paint Job" style and is part of Guardian Finish. Therefore, it allows customization with one of many bright colors. The main color of the skin is an appealing blue tint. All the pattern indexes do not change a flashy Guardian finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 22.65 (-18.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 22.48 (-19.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 26.82 (-3.77%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 38.67 (38.75%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.