Pistol
Knife
Machinegun
Glove

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a smaller magazine size than its unsilenced sibling, for more discreet shots with better control and accuracy. Its haunted custom paint job creates an image of a terrifying nocturnal visitor-an instant reminder to be steadfast in the darkness. Also, don't forget to set the alarm, as this skin will keep you on edge.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare appeared for the first time on August 1st, 2018, in CS2 within the Horizon Case Collection upon the "A New Horizon" update. This skin was created by one of the most talented community designers known as Apel8 and is all dark and twistedly beautiful.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a Factory New skin available in CS2, which can be obtained through the opening case container called the Horizon Case, which gives the owner a randomly selected skin for any of the big number of guns. This skin belongs exclusively to the Horizon Collection, covering this gun with an eerie design-a certain fear factor for enemies on the virtual battlefield.
M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New is considered one of the most popular tools among CS2 players. The popularity rate is 99%, and it has a pretty decent sales volume daily considering its high price. M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New has immediately become the most demanded in-game item.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare is included in the 255 other Rifle skins and, therefore, is a well-demanded cosmetic item within CS2. The Nightmare holds the Classfied rarity, which makes it very rare - the drop chance is estimated at 3.2%.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare is a CS2 skin available in all float values, ranging from a pristine Factory New condition all the way to a Well-Worn and battle-scarred state. This gives players the ability to select which aesthetic they would like best. Furthermore, for collectors and enthusiasts, there is an available StatTrak version of each exterior, allowing players to track their kills with this hauntingly beautiful weapon skin.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare has managed to receive a rather positive community sentiment: it received a large number of votes for such a small site as addskins.gg and an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. To top it off, this skin's popularity is further reinforced by its ownership from two prominent professional CS2 players pimp and steel.
This Factory New M4A1-S | Nightmare features an "Custom Paint Job" style and has a rather striking finish. The skin itself features an interesting pop of bright blue and cyan colors that make the skin have a really unique look with repetition for every pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 80.28 (-0.2485%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 79.04 (-1.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 98.9 (22.89%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 198 (146.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.