M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)

4.6 4242 отзыва
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Latest price change
From last week
$ 7.45
+10.35%
From last month
$ 39.74
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 80.28
-0.2485%
In a quarter
$ 79.04
-1.79%
In half a year
$ 98.9
+22.89%
In a year
$ 198
+146.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
554 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 79.45
  • 7 days low: $ 72
  • 7 days high: $ 40 000
  • 7 days price change: 10.35%
  • 30 days low: $ 39.71
  • 30 days high: $ 40 000
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 39.71
  • 90 days high: $ 40 000
  • Year low: $ 35.91
  • Year high: $ 40 000
  • All time low: $ 28.79
  • All time high: $ 40 000
  • All time max offers: 908
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 17
  • Sales for last 7 days: 121
  • Sales for last 30 days: 503
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1321
  • All time sales: 3719
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 3.33
  • Volatility: 16.7%
  • Liquidity: 9.44%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 80.28
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.2485%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 79.04
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.79%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 98.9
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 22.89%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 198
  • Price forecast change in a year: 146.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 54.7
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 49.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 49.86
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 55.78
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.92
11.87%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 56.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 56.81
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 81.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 25.18
44.32%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 94.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 94.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 94.05
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 54.7
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 49.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 49.86
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 55.78
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.92
11.87%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 56.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 56.81
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 57.67
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 52.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 58.83
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 81.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 25.18
44.32%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 94.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 94.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 94.05
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 93.89
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 103
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 59.62
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 85
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 31.1
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 201
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a smaller magazine size than its unsilenced sibling, for more discreet shots with better control and accuracy. Its haunted custom paint job creates an image of a terrifying nocturnal visitor-an instant reminder to be steadfast in the darkness. Also, don't forget to set the alarm, as this skin will keep you on edge.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Nightmare appeared for the first time on August 1st, 2018, in CS2 within the Horizon Case Collection upon the "A New Horizon" update. This skin was created by one of the most talented community designers known as Apel8 and is all dark and twistedly beautiful.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a Factory New skin available in CS2, which can be obtained through the opening case container called the Horizon Case, which gives the owner a randomly selected skin for any of the big number of guns. This skin belongs exclusively to the Horizon Collection, covering this gun with an eerie design-a certain fear factor for enemies on the virtual battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New is considered one of the most popular tools among CS2 players. The popularity rate is 99%, and it has a pretty decent sales volume daily considering its high price. M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New has immediately become the most demanded in-game item.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Nightmare is included in the 255 other Rifle skins and, therefore, is a well-demanded cosmetic item within CS2. The Nightmare holds the Classfied rarity, which makes it very rare - the drop chance is estimated at 3.2%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Nightmare is a CS2 skin available in all float values, ranging from a pristine Factory New condition all the way to a Well-Worn and battle-scarred state. This gives players the ability to select which aesthetic they would like best. Furthermore, for collectors and enthusiasts, there is an available StatTrak version of each exterior, allowing players to track their kills with this hauntingly beautiful weapon skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has managed to receive a rather positive community sentiment: it received a large number of votes for such a small site as addskins.gg and an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. To top it off, this skin's popularity is further reinforced by its ownership from two prominent professional CS2 players pimp and steel.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A1-S | Nightmare features an "Custom Paint Job" style and has a rather striking finish. The skin itself features an interesting pop of bright blue and cyan colors that make the skin have a really unique look with repetition for every pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 80.28 (-0.2485%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 79.04 (-1.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 98.9 (22.89%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 198 (146.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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