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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare features a silenced variant of the M4A1 rifle. It has a smaller magazine capacity, but it concedes to quieter shots, better control of recoil, and accuracy. The custom paint job masterfully showcases an eerie and ominous design reminiscent of a grotesque creature lurking in the dark. Watch your step, or this gun may just sneak up on you.
M4A1-S | Nightmare stepped into the CS2 world on August 1, 2018, when it came into life as a new skin addition after the Horizon Case. The ghostly captivating design was taken from the ideas and creativity of talented community designer "apel8". Adding a touch of darkness and mystery to the player's arsenal.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare is one of the most popular skins that can be obtained by opening a containerHorizon Case, which gives a chance for players to have this inimitable skin in their arsenal. This skin also belongs to the highly limited edition Horizon Collection, testifying to its rarity and popularity with collectors and players alike.
M4A1-S | Nightmare operates in the field of CS2 and enjoys the highest popularity among players, amounting to 99%, and is included in the list of the most demanded skins. Such a great demand is conditioned by an outstanding design, its rarity, and, consequently, its value, which can be judged by looking at its daily sales volume and rather stable high price in the market.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare is one of the hottest pulls in CS2, since it's only one of 255 Rifle skins. It falls under the 'Classified' rarity, making it a super rare drop estimated at only 3.2% pull chance.
The float value of the M4A1-S | Nightmare in Field-Tested condition is in the range of 0.15-0.37, and its battle-worn look presents a moderately worn appearance. All the skins are available in every exterior type, including Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred. A second version of each exterior available exists: the StatTrak version, which lets you track the kills you earn with this hauntingly stylish weapon.
The community sentiment regarding the M4A1-S | Nightmare in CS2 remains quite good, having an average rating of 4.6 stars out of 5 over more than 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, its popularity can be further evidenced by ownership from pros like pimp and steel.
The M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) features an extremely vibrant "Custom Paint Job" style with an Nightmare finish. This allows customized skin appearance with a wide set of colors. This particular skin boasts an intriguing color palette that comes provided by blue and cyan colors; however, pattern indexes do not alter the mesmerizing Nightmare finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 9.27 (0.98%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.4 (2.4%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 10.46 (13.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 9.67 (5.34%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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