M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)

4.6 4257 отзывов
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Latest price change
From last week
$ 4.08
+24.17%
From last month
$ 9.92
+89.86%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 20.8
-6.39%
In a quarter
$ 20.81
-6.35%
In half a year
$ 23.79
+7.07%
In a year
$ 29.59
+33.17%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
824 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 20.96
  • 24h price change: 2.39%
  • 7 days low: $ 16.88
  • 7 days high: $ 1 950
  • 7 days price change: 24.17%
  • 30 days low: $ 11.04
  • 30 days high: $ 1 996
  • 30 days price change: 89.86%
  • 90 days low: $ 11.04
  • 90 days high: $ 1 996
  • Year low: $ 11.04
  • Year high: $ 12 711
  • All time low: $ 11.04
  • All time high: $ 12 711
  • All time max offers: 1307
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 102
  • Sales for last 7 days: 866
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3274
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6563
  • All time sales: 18592
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.34
  • Volatility: 12.82%
  • Liquidity: 10.52%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 20.8
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.39%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 20.81
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.35%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 23.79
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 7.07%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 29.59
  • Price forecast change in a year: 33.17%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 20.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.86
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 25.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.83
23.16%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.04
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 20.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 20.86
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 19.08
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 19.55
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 19.07
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 19.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.26
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 19.7
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.69
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 23.39
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.83
23.16%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.04
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.62
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.48
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.71
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.64
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 21.46
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 4.83
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 43.9
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Nightmare is the silenced variant of the M4A1 rifle, its magazine size reduced to allow for more covert methods of taking care of business. Because of this, recoil is also reduced and accuracy heightened due to the fewer bullets in the magazine. A custom paint job creates a haunting image of a nocturnal visitor upon the body of this weapon, adding another layer of eeriness upon this already chilling design. Just be sure not to get lost within that chilling design and forget to set an alarm for your next mission.

History

History

M4A1-S | Nightmare stepped into the CS2 world on August 1, 2018, when it came into life as a new skin addition after the Horizon Case. The ghostly captivating design was taken from the ideas and creativity of talented community designer "apel8". Adding a touch of darkness and mystery to the player's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a hauntingly dark design; it pulls out of the Horizon Case container. This gives the player an opportunity to wield this sinister one. Being part of The Horizon Collection, this skin adds a touch of eerie elegance to any Counter-Strike: Global Offensive player's arsenal.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has a popularity rating of 99% among CS2 players. Extremely good-looking and very rare, this becomes one of the most highly sought-after skins, skyrocketing both its sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Nightmare stands as one of 255 other Rifle skins, making it very special and with which very few players would be able to boast. A skin of a Classified rarity classification, the Nightmare is an extremely popular drop with an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of the M4A1-S | Nightmare, Minimal Wear ranges from 0.07-0.15. This would mean that the skin is slightly worn and just has minor scratches and wear marks. In addition to these exteriors, each of them has a StatTrak version that adds an in-game digital killer stat tracker.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Nightmare has gained very positive community sentiment, having an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars with over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity can be realized by the fact that professional CS2 players pimp and steel have it in their inventories, adding to its desirability among the community.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A1-S has a "Custom Paint Job" style, with the Nightmare finish which allows a wide range of personalized appearances in bright colors. The combination of blue and cyan hues gives an arresting color scheme. Pattern indexes do not alter the striking Nightmare finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 20.8 (-6.39%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 20.81 (-6.35%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 23.79 (7.07%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 29.59 (33.17%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players