M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)

4.6 4279 отзывов
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Latest price change
From last week
$ 0.3
+4.62%
From last month
$ 1.44
+26.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.13
-2.73%
In a quarter
$ 7.6
+3.68%
In half a year
$ 8.83
+20.46%
In a year
$ 7.69
+4.91%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
839 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 6.79
  • 24h price change: -1.31%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.49
  • 7 days high: $ 1 561
  • 7 days price change: 4.62%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.35
  • 30 days high: $ 1 561
  • 30 days price change: 26.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.35
  • 90 days high: $ 1 561
  • Year low: $ 5.35
  • Year high: $ 1 561
  • All time low: $ 3.95
  • All time high: $ 1 561
  • All time max offers: 2545
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 128
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1142
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4448
  • Sales for last 90 days: 9568
  • All time sales: 25630
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.06
  • Volatility: 12.89%
  • Liquidity: 8.05%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.13
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.6
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.68%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.83
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 20.46%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.69
  • Price forecast change in a year: 4.91%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.06
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.48
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 6.78
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.93
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.88
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.93
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.24
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.25
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.82
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 6.33
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 6.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 7.34
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.6
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Nightmare features a silenced rifle with reduced recoil and better accuracy, even though it has reduced magazine capacity compared to its unsilenced version. Its custom paint job shows an eerie nocturnal visitor and serves as a chilling reminder to stay vigilant in the dead of night. Next time, remember to set the alarm so you aren't caught napping.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Nightmare entered the world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, as one of the highly desired additions within the Horizon Case. This skin, designed by the stunning community designer "apel8," has gone on to become a haunting favorite among players; its dark mystique impressed many.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Nightmare, in well-worn condition, is available through an opening case container from a Horizon Case by players in order for them to get a chance at wielding this hauntingly designed weapon. This skin is also proud to join The Horizon Collection and reveals its dark, mysterious aesthetic among the other great firearm finishes.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) is the most desired skin in CS2, which had an outstanding popularity rating of 99%. High-ratedness says much about its high sales volume and premiums-a sure thing that this is one of the most hankered-for items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Nightmare is well-worn. There are 255 rifle skins in CS2, and the M4A1-S | Nightmare holds the Classified rarity. It is a relatively rare drop-this skin was never released. Because of this, it should have a drop chance of 3.2%, but reality will show that's not the case.

Versions

Versions

Float Value ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, which means that the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) is slightly worn, with scratches and wear at every available surface. There is also a StatTrak available for each exterior, allowing one to keep track of their kills with this hauntingly designed gun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A1-S | Nightmare has received an enormous positive feedback from the community, such that it has gained a gigantic number of votes on addsin.com, hence developing an astonishing average vote of 4.6 out of five stars. Moreover, this skin is popular even among professional CS2 players because this skin belongs to the well-liked professional CS2 players like pimp and steel.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A1-S features a very diverse, "Custom Paint Job" style with the mighty Nightmare finish. The skin has a catching design play of blue and cyan colors, but indexes don't change the mysterious Nightmare effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 7.13 (-2.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.6 (3.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.83 (20.46%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.69 (4.91%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players