M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New)

4.5 3997 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.14
+1.72%
Last month
$ 3.22
+63.89%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.43
-10.48%
In a quarter
$ 8.5
+2.41%
In half a year
$ 11.57
+39.4%
In a year
$ 30.49
+267.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
58% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2288 offers on 11 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nitro inspecting M4A1-S | Nitro reloading M4A1-S | Nitro holding M4A1-S | Nitro pose-1 M4A1-S | Nitro pose-2 M4A1-S | Nitro pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.26
  • 24h price change: 1.72%
  • 7 days low: $ 8.12
  • 7 days high: $ 1 106
  • 7 days price change: 1.72%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.04
  • 30 days high: $ 1 233
  • 30 days price change: 63.89%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.04
  • 90 days high: $ 2 777
  • Year low: $ 2.98
  • Year high: $ 3 160
  • All time low: $ 2.98
  • All time high: $ 4 375
  • All time max offers: 2917
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 86
  • Sales for last 7 days: 484
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2422
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6806
  • All time sales: 21690
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 10.76
  • Volatility: 12.37%
  • Liquidity: 10.52%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.43
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 8.5
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.41%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 11.57
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 39.4%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 30.49
  • Price forecast change in a year: 267.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.86
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 16.32
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 13.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.56
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.86
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 6.93
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.2
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.97
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.37
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.32
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 13.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.72
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 12.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 11.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 5.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 7.8
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.86
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
58%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 6513
In a year 57%
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
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From last month
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In a year 102%
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger
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Normal
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Factory New
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44%
From last month
1209 offers on 11 markets
4.8 719010
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor
Classified
Normal
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Blue Phosphor
4.8 719175
In a year 123%
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor
Classified
Normal
M4A1-S
Blue Phosphor
Factory New
$ 983
99%
From last month
446 offers on 10 markets
4.8 719123
In a year 110%
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor
Classified
Normal
M4A1-S
Blue Phosphor
Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Nitro features a silenced variant of the M4A1 rifle, boasting reduced recoil, increased accuracy, and a smaller magazine capacity. Sleek design with black and tangerine orange spray-painted parts exudes bold confidence, drawing attention on the battlefield.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Nitro was first revealed to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on November 27th, 2013, when the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package was released. After this update, the game took new colors because the skin Nitro added a sleek and modern look to the weapon M4A1-S.

Origin

Origin

M4A1-S | Nitro is one of the most sought-after skins in CS2. It was acquired by opening a container either from a DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or an EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, which were available during those tournaments. Besides, it is included in The Safehouse Collection of skins, which further makes it rare and valuable in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A1-S | Nitro is one of the most popular skins in CS2, and as many as 95% of the players use this skin as a high-end. Its high desire can be estimated by the big volume of sales it receives and the amount for which it sells at the market-a really premium price-which makes it one of the most in-demand items in this game.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A1-S | Nitro is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. In view of the rarity level, this skin is Restricted, meaning quite rare and valued as an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Nitro is available in CS2 for many float values, which range between almost pristine, with a 0.06 value, and slightly worn, with 0.80, to make sure that for each skin, players can get it in whatever condition. Along with each exterior, there is a corresponding Souvenir version of the Nitro that increases the collectibility of the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The CS2 community is very positive toward M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New); this could be seen from the average rating of 4.5 stars out of 5, based on more than 3.9K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity could also be judged by the fact that guardian, olofmeister, and happy use this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

M4A1-S | Nitro Factory New-most noticeably combines its "Solid Color" style with the Nitro finish, which really makes it sleek and modern. The brown and black colors create a strange color combination. Allowing every part of this weapon to feature up to four colors, the weird painting process has created a very intriguing pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 7.43 (-10.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 8.5 (2.41%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 11.57 (39.4%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 30.49 (267.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.