M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)

5.0 6244 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 8
+2.08%
Last month
$ 160
+68.97%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 220
-44.15%
In a quarter
$ 722
+83.3%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
451 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Vaporwave inspecting M4A1-S | Vaporwave reloading M4A1-S | Vaporwave holding M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-1 M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-2 M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 392
  • 24h price change: 0.51%
  • 7 days low: $ 384
  • 7 days high: $ 1 113
  • 7 days price change: 2.08%
  • 30 days low: $ 232
  • 30 days high: $ 53 956
  • 30 days price change: 68.97%
  • 90 days low: $ 187
  • 90 days high: $ 53 956
  • Year low: $ 145
  • Year high: $ 53 956
  • All time low: $ 145
  • All time high: $ 53 956
  • All time max offers: 675
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 9
  • Sales for last 7 days: 70
  • Sales for last 30 days: 455
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1138
  • All time sales: 3383
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.53
  • Volatility: 33.45%
  • Liquidity: 20.9%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 220
  • Price forecast change in a month: -44.15%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 722
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 83.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 359
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 359
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 194
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 214
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 217
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 271
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 399
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 419
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 429
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 502
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 359
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 359
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 378
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 413
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 359
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

Featuring a reduced magazine capacity compared to its unsilenced variant, the M4A1-S offers stealthier shots with improved control and precision. Its custom Vaporwave paint job showcases a blend of Greco-Roman statues and distorted imagery, evoking a surreal, dreamlike aesthetic.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) was added to CS2's inventory on June 15th, 2025, as part of the Retro Case collection. It was designed by the renowned artist "Synthwave" and quickly became a sought-after skin among players for its unique aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) skin was introduced as part of a limited-time event in CS2, where players could obtain it by participating in Vaporwave-themed missions. This skin is highly sought after for its unique design and rarity, making it a prized possession among collectors in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 97%, the M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Factory New condition is highly sought after by players in CS2, making it one of the top choices for weapon skins. This popularity measurement is determined by the skin's consistent demand and its stable market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave is one of 276 other Rifle skins in CS:GO. This skin is classified as Covert, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $78.76 and $354.56, the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) is a relatively affordable skin for CS2 players. It is currently readily accessible across various markets, making it easy for players to acquire and add to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Factory New condition boasts vibrant neon colors and a sleek design, making it a highly sought-after skin in CS2. With a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.07, collectors can enjoy a flawless appearance across all exteriors, including StatTrak versions for added prestige.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Factory New condition has garnered significant praise within the CS2 community, with over 6244 votes on addskins resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by prominent CS2 professionals such as matys, yuurih, and wicadia, further solidifying its popularity and desirability among players.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) skin features a custom paint job with a vibrant Vaporwave finish, allowing for a unique and colorful appearance. The color scheme showcases shades of purple and pink, with pattern indexes having no impact on the distinct Vaporwave design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 220 (-44.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 722 (83.3%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.6
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class