M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7328 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2
+1.43%
Last month
$ 58.51
+70.08%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 111
-21.83%
In a quarter
$ 184
+29.58%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
774 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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ShadowPay
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CSGO.COM
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Inspect skin
M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Vaporwave inspecting M4A1-S | Vaporwave reloading M4A1-S | Vaporwave holding M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-1 M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-2 M4A1-S | Vaporwave pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 142
  • 7 days low: $ 140
  • 7 days high: $ 491
  • 7 days price change: 1.43%
  • 30 days low: $ 83.49
  • 30 days high: $ 15 481
  • 30 days price change: 70.08%
  • 90 days low: $ 83.49
  • 90 days high: $ 15 481
  • Year low: $ 83.49
  • Year high: $ 22 465
  • All time low: $ 83.49
  • All time high: $ 22 465
  • All time max offers: 972
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 36
  • Sales for last 7 days: 244
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1174
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2781
  • All time sales: 7936
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3956
  • Volatility: 18.57%
  • Liquidity: 26.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 111
  • Price forecast change in a month: -21.83%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 184
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 29.58%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 111
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 32.07
28.94%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 121
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 145
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 24.52
20.35%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 107
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 106
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 111
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 32.07
28.94%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 121
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 145
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 24.52
20.35%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 56.59
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 231
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) features a reduced magazine size for quieter shots, improved accuracy, and reduced recoil. Its custom paint job showcases Greco-Roman statues and distorted imagery from a nostalgic era, evoking a surreal and dreamlike aesthetic.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave was added to CS2's inventory on April 15th, 2025, during the "Retro Reload" operation. It was featured as a rare drop in the operation's exclusive collection, designed by the community artist known as "NeonNostalgia".

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) skin was introduced into CS2 through the Vaporwave Collection. Players can acquire this skin by opening Vaporwave Collection cases or trading with other players.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Minimal Wear condition enjoys a high popularity rating of 95% among CS2 players, solidifying its status as a sought-after skin in the game. This rating is determined by factors such as trading frequency and community demand, making it a highly coveted item in the CS2 marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave is one of 276 other Rifle skins, making it a highly sought-after item in CS2. With a rarity classification of Covert, the Vaporwave skin has an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%, making it an extremely rare find for players.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $78.76 and $354.56, the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) is a reasonably priced skin for CS2 collectors. Thankfully, this skin is readily accessible across various trading platforms, ensuring enthusiasts can easily add it to their inventory.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Minimal Wear condition features a vibrant neon color scheme with a sleek design, making it a popular choice among players for its unique aesthetic. Additionally, collectors can find StatTrak versions of the Minimal Wear Vaporwave skin across all exteriors, adding a touch of personalization to their weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave in Minimal Wear condition has garnered significant community approval with more than 8,500 votes on addskins, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is prominently featured in the inventories of renowned CS2 players such as s1mple, device, and NiKo.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) skin features a custom paint job with a vibrant Vaporwave finish, allowing for a highly personalized appearance with a full spectrum of colors. The color scheme of this skin showcases shades of purple and pink, while the pattern indexes do not alter the striking Vaporwave design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 111 (-21.83%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 184 (29.58%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.6
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class