★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)

4.5 4253 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 19
+4.33%
Last month
$ 203
+79.61%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 510
+12.9%
In a quarter
$ 680
+50.54%
In half a year
$ 713
+57.84%
In a year
$ 687
+52.09%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
54 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 458
  • 24h price change: 4.09%
  • 7 days low: $ 439
  • 7 days high: $ 2 193
  • 7 days price change: 4.33%
  • 30 days low: $ 255
  • 30 days high: $ 2 193
  • 30 days price change: 79.61%
  • 90 days low: $ 255
  • 90 days high: $ 2 193
  • Year low: $ 255
  • Year high: $ 144 872
  • All time low: $ 255
  • All time high: $ 144 872
  • All time max offers: 105
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 48
  • Sales for last 90 days: 62
  • All time sales: 140
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 4.29
  • Volatility: 14.16%
  • Liquidity: 3.89%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 510
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 680
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 50.54%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 713
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 57.84%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 687
  • Price forecast change in a year: 52.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 815
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 815
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 815
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 815
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 760
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 685
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 724
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 706
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 648
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 740
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 744
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 775
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 772
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 775
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 784
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 775
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 780
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 436
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 815
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M9 Bayonet | Bright Water is a heavy-hitting, versatile tool not only for mounting rifle combat but also for hand-to-hand close quarters. The touches of style it receives from its bright blue camo hydrographic paint job are only complements to already impressive functionality.

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water was added to CS2 on June 15th, 2016, 5 years ago. It came as part of the Gamma 2 Case and "Gamma Exposure" update, giving players one of the most visually striking and colorful options for the M9 Bayonet.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water is one of the rarest and most in-demand skins; it can be obtained either from the opening of a Gamma 2 Case or through a Gamma Case container in CS2. For its unique skin, bright blue and white colored like the waves, not being tagged in any collections makes it all the more exclusive and hence highly wanted by the players.

Popularity

Popularity

The popularity of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New is only 35%, so it allows this skin to take a place in the row of so-called less popular in-game items of CS2. This skin gets its measurement for being relatively unpopular, with its daily sales volume and market price taken into consideration.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water is part of 391 knife skins in CS2, but the rarity in-game for it is Covert. This makes this ultra-rare drop to obtain an estimated chance of just 0.26%. Getting this Factory New version of the skin is a true rarity and may add some sort of exclusivity to any collection.

Availability

Availability

The★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New has a rather high price, which ranges from $450.33 - $689.90. Fortunately, it is rather easily obtainable since the skin is available on many markets. At the moment, there are about 9.1K units of Bright Water in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New float range is from 0.00 to 0.50, which means this skin is available in all types of exterior, and it will always look brand new. Furthermore, collectors and fans can also get a StatTrak version of the Bright Water in every exterior for an even more prestigious and tracked status of your knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water has gathered 4.2K votes with an average rating on addskins.gg of 4.5 out of 5 stars. What is more, this skin is so popular that even such well-known professional CS2 players like stonde and sinnopsyy own it.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin is featured in M9 Bayonet Bright Water-the hydrographic which has the weapon parts submerged in a water tank and covered by a floating film; thus, one pattern, generally captivating, was achieved. Dominating this skin is serene blue, and its appearance with the Bright Water finish will slightly vary in pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 510 (12.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 680 (50.54%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 713 (57.84%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 687 (52.09%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players