★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 11196 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 23
+4.69%
Last month
$ 214
+71.57%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 579
+12.34%
In a quarter
$ 671
+30.19%
In half a year
$ 614
+19.13%
In a year
$ 584
+13.31%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
62 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 513
  • 24h price change: 4.69%
  • 7 days low: $ 490
  • 7 days high: $ 3 326
  • 7 days price change: 4.69%
  • 30 days low: $ 299
  • 30 days high: $ 3 558
  • 30 days price change: 71.57%
  • 90 days low: $ 299
  • 90 days high: $ 3 611
  • Year low: $ 299
  • Year high: $ 128 443
  • All time low: $ 299
  • All time high: $ 128 443
  • All time max offers: 155
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 48
  • Sales for last 90 days: 55
  • All time sales: 96
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 3.49
  • Volatility: 11.51%
  • Liquidity: 1.41%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 579
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.34%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 671
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 30.19%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 614
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 19.13%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 584
  • Price forecast change in a year: 13.31%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 810
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 810
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 724
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -86.17
-10.64%
Result
👎 Fail
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 412
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 810
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 705
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 676
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 645
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 610
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 653
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 699
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 719
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 721
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 718
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 696
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 715
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 706
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 724
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -86.17
-10.64%
Result
👎 Fail
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 412
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 451
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -86.17
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 222
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ★ was added to CS2 on August 14th, 2013, in The Revolver Case with the update "The Arms Deal". Soon, due to its unique pattern and extreme rarity of blue coloration, it became one of the hottest skins of a knife in the game. That fact made this skin keep popularity through years.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) can be obtained by opening such containers as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. This is not a part of any collection; hence, it is one-of-a-kind in the CS2 skin universe.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) holds an astonishing 90% popularity rating. Its popularity made it one of the hottest items in CS2, testifying to its great desirability and value. This popularity is estimated upon the daily volume of the skin sales and its market price, confirming its status as highly coveted by the players.

Rarity

Rarity

So, the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of only 391 Knife skins available for CS2. It's included in the Covert rarity and falls into the category of ultra-rare drop items, meaning anyone trying to receive this item will have about a 0.26% chance of receiving it.

Availability

Availability

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is pretty popular in CS2, but it will be somewhat pricier: the price may vary from $498.13 up to $2,078.45. On the other hand, for those players who would invest in this skin, they will find out that currently it is widely available on many markets; hence, it will be pretty easy to access and purchase. Moreover, considering the fact that there are about 5.3K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, players have a pretty fair chance of getting this desirable skin.

Versions

Versions

For example, the float value for the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in CS2 is set within a range of 0.45 to 1.00, representative of an extremely worn-out appearance with many scratches and abrasions in the skin. Furthermore, there is a StatTrak available for each of the exterior qualities, making kill counting with this battle-worn beauty possible.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This is going to be the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened, Battle-Scarred, which received over 11K votes in addskins.gg and an average vote of 4.4 out of 5 stars. It is not only community loved but is also owned by professional CS2 players patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud.

Finish style

Finish style

This battle-scarred M9 Bayonet features an externally weathered "Patina"-style finish in Case Hardened, similar in ways to the natural development of a non-reactive hardened shell that forms over the metallic parts. Further, the pattern index of the Case Hardened finish makes it dramatic and interesting to behold.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 579 (12.34%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 671 (30.19%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 614 (19.13%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 584 (13.31%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.