★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.4 11108 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 393
+1.17%
In a quarter
$ 1 414
+2.69%
In half a year
$ 1 551
+12.64%
In a year
$ 2 432
+76.62%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
13 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 350
  • 7 days low: $ 1 350
  • 7 days high: $ 5 328
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 350
  • 30 days high: $ 13 685
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 205
  • 90 days high: $ 13 685
  • Year low: $ 970
  • Year high: $ 309 305
  • All time low: $ 967
  • All time high: $ 309 305
  • All time max offers: 49
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 3
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 3.01
  • Volatility: 10.22%
  • Liquidity: 1.81%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 393
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 414
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.69%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1 551
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 12.64%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2 432
  • Price forecast change in a year: 76.62%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 411
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 411
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 411
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 411
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 324
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 351
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1 320
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 320
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 322
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 281
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 293
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 205
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 363
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 387
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 363
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 1 420
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 1 422
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 411
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened first dropped into the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, and was one of the most sought-after knife skins from that date forward. The striking blue pattern resembled the surface of hardened steel and became an instant hit among players; it turned this knife into a symbol of prestige and rarity within the community. It first dropped as part of the Revolver Case, which came alongside "The Arms Deal" update, launching a new generation of skins for in-game weapons.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a pretty rare and highly sought-after skin. It can be pulled only from one of the 11 containers that feature it, including the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike other skins, this particular variant doesn't come into any collections, and hence it is really so exclusive and costly.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New has a high demand in the CS2 community, rated at 90% popularity. Its desirability speaks for itself through the volume of sales it usually enjoys and the high value that it brings into the market to set it as one of the most highly wanted items in-game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other skins for the knife in CS2. Still, its rarity is classified as Covert, making this skin an ultra-rare drop with only an estimated probability of acquiring it at 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The skin of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New has a pretty expansive price - from $498.13 up to $2,078.45. But it is easily available because it is possible to see it in many markets. Moreover, now there are 5.3K units of this skin Case Hardened in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 1.00. This means that this skin is available in all possible exterior looks. Besides each of these externals, one StatTrak is also available for the Case Hardened version of the M9 Bayonet.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New was quite well-liked by the community, having more than 11K votes on addskins.gg for an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends even to professional CS2 players like patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud who proudly own and show this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Factory New M9 Bayonet also sports a pretty fancy Case Hardened finish, touting a patina-style finish that forms a non-reactive, hardened shell over the metallic parts of the blade. Its pattern index finish is rather unique; it can be manipulated visually into a rather captivating and realistic rendition of real-life weapon patinas, such as case hardening, cold bluing, or acid-forced patinas.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 393 (1.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 414 (2.69%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1 551 (12.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2 432 (76.62%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.