★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.4 11095 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 283
+119%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 654
+21.82%
In a quarter
$ 771
+43.62%
In half a year
$ 809
+50.7%
In a year
$ 763
+42.13%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
61 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 520
  • 7 days low: $ 520
  • 7 days high: $ 2 225
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 237
  • 30 days high: $ 2 242
  • 30 days price change: 119%
  • 90 days low: $ 237
  • 90 days high: $ 6 170
  • Year low: $ 237
  • Year high: $ 153 428
  • All time low: $ 237
  • All time high: $ 153 428
  • All time max offers: 193
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 18
  • Sales for last 30 days: 92
  • Sales for last 90 days: 103
  • All time sales: 197
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 3.01
  • Volatility: 11.13%
  • Liquidity: 2.33%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 654
  • Price forecast change in a month: 21.82%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 771
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 43.62%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 809
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 50.7%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 763
  • Price forecast change in a year: 42.13%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 866
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 866
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 866
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 868
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 743
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 767
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 764
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 760
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 836
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 839
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 837
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 835
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 805
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 800
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 868
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 389
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 598
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 866
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its virtual appearance in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, being a valuable member included in the Revolver Case within the confines of "The Arms Deal" update. Its unique blue-and-gold case hardening pattern quickly became highly desired by collectors and players alike, making it one of the most iconic and desirable knife skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a rare skin whose obtaining is possible when opening any of the 11 containers available in CS2. Such containers are CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Due to the fact that this ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened does not take part in any collections, this skin is highly requested by collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

Highly sought after, the popularity rating of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is 90%. This skin obviously has desirability at a high level due to its rarity and the distinctive blue pattern. Skin popularity is determined through an analysis of sales volume and market price on a day-to-day basis in the marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is one of 391 other Knife skins available in CS2. Its rarity level is classified as Covert, making it really very rare, and its drop chance is estimated at just about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

Well, this makes the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened skin rather expensive, starting from $498.13 to $2,078.45 yet highly available on different markets, which can make buying it a lot easier for a player. Moreover, at this moment there is a big amount of 5.3K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Field-Tested: 0.15 - 0.38, with the blade and guard bearing a bright blue pattern. Besides, for the Field-Tested version, it also includes a StatTrak variant so that collectors can track their kills with flair.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened attracted quite impressive attention in the CS2 scene, gaining more than 11K votes at addskins.gg, which displayed a really impressive average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. It was a popular skin not only among the community but also among pro players since patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud are just a few owners of this highly coveted skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested M9 Bayonet features a Case Hardened finish with an attractive patina forming a non-reactive, hardened shell over its metallic parts. The pattern index of the finish is nicely detailed, making for an extremely good-looking, realistic finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 654 (21.82%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 771 (43.62%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 809 (50.7%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 763 (42.13%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.