★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)

4.7 7078 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 728
+128%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 617
+16.97%
In a quarter
$ 1 887
+36.5%
In half a year
$ 2 159
+56.18%
In a year
$ 2 878
+108.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
266 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 298
  • 7 days low: $ 1 298
  • 7 days high: $ 3 428
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 570
  • 30 days high: $ 3 985
  • 30 days price change: 128%
  • 90 days low: $ 570
  • 90 days high: $ 7 000
  • Year low: $ 570
  • Year high: $ 392 000
  • All time low: $ 570
  • All time high: $ 392 000
  • All time max offers: 378
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 57
  • Sales for last 90 days: 74
  • All time sales: 187
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 4.48
  • Volatility: 13.89%
  • Liquidity: 3.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 617
  • Price forecast change in a month: 16.97%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 887
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 36.5%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2 159
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 56.18%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2 878
  • Price forecast change in a year: 108.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 248
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 248
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 248
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 248
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 160
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2 161
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2 069
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2 069
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 010
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 121
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2 175
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 187
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 187
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 456
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 350
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 244
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 242
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 911
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 557
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2 248
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade was added to CS2 roughly ten years ago, more precisely on August 14th, 2013. It was added along with the Revolver Case update titled "The Arms Deal," which presented players with a new, extremely colorful skin for the M9 Bayonet knife.

Origin

Origin

The★ M9 Bayonet | Fade Factory New is an item in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive and can be only obtained through the opening of a Container, which contains numerous CS: GO cases. CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3 could be purchased. This skin is a part of no collection; therefore, it's very special and extremely popular for buying and selling.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade is one of the hottest items in CS2 right now, holding an astonishing 65% popularity. For this skin, the popularity measurement considers the very high daily sales volume in conjunction with a premium price this skin commands, since it is extremely rare and visually stunning.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade is one of 391 other Knife skins, but its rarity level is Covert, making it an ultra-rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%. Receiving this Factory New version of the Fade is a very popular accomplishment among both collectors and players.

Availability

Availability

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is one of the highly sought CS2 skins, which costs in a range from $1,704.33 to $2,001.49, not a very moderate price. Despite the high cost of this particular skin, it is highly accessible because it is available in various markets from which you can buy it. Currently, with around 5.6K units in public CS2 inventories, it is just about a fair chance for the users to get this exquisite knife skin.

Versions

Versions

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade in Factory New condition has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.08, insuring that the knife will have an almost pristine appearance with minimal wear. Also, for each of these exterior conditions, there's a variant with StatTrak to add a touch of tracking class to the Fade design.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade has had much attention from the community, receiving more than 6.9K votes on addskins.gg and earning a great average of 4.7 out of 5 stars. It is also highly held by professionals such as boltz, espiranto, and hades.

Finish style

Finish style

Factory New M9 Bayonet This Factory New M9 Bayonet features an exceptional "Anodized Airbrushed" finish and sports an exciting Fade pattern that precisely resembles what would have been the outcome of applying a candy coat with highly skilled freehand airbrushing. Another critical factor in the aesthetic value of the Fade finish is its pattern index, which makes each and every knife different and catches one's eye.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 617 (16.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 887 (36.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 2 159 (56.18%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2 878 (108.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.