★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)

4.5 11067 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 55
+4.91%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 130
-6.42%
In a quarter
$ 1 305
+8.07%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1 176
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 1 188
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 214
Inspect skin
★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 176
  • 7 days low: $ 1 176
  • 7 days high: $ 1 247
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 121
  • 30 days high: $ 1 247
  • 30 days price change: 4.91%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 078
  • 90 days high: $ 1 384
  • Year low: $ 1 002
  • Year high: $ 1 384
  • All time low: $ 520
  • All time high: $ 1 384
  • All time max offers: 10
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3779
  • Volatility: 5.71%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 130
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.42%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 305
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 8.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 056
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 056
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 056
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 002
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 002
Action
✋ Hold
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1 056
Action
✋ Hold
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 056
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 078
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 086
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 091
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 092
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 096
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 096
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 123
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 121
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 197
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 197
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 197
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M9 Bayonet is a multi-use bayonet for both mounting on a rifle and close-quarters combat. Factory New The sun-dappled pattern calls to mind the promise of new life, rather than the destruction that surrounds the blade. "Let us choose rebirth, rather than destruction," said Valeria Jenner, the Revolutionary.

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched first appeared in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when the "The Arms Deal" update added it alongside the Revolver Case. Since its addition, the skin was in high demand due to its incredible pattern of scorching and fantastic condition when Factory New.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched is an incredibly unusual skin and can be pulled from a wide variety of containers, like the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. With this being the only skin in no collection, it easily makes this highly unique and sought after by both collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New) is indeed one of the most popular skins in the universe of CS2, having an excellent rating of 85% popularity-a skin that is truly favored in the top 15%. This assessment gauges from its daily sales volume and its market price to, in turn, reflect the strong demand and value attached to this particular skin.

Rarity

Rarity

Exterior The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched is a part of the 391 other skins for Knife in CS2 and it features a rather rare drop in the CS2 community. This skin is classified as Covert. Being ultra rare, this Factory New skin drops only with a .26% chance.

Availability

Availability

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched Factory New is a high-priced skin; its value ranges from $371.32 to $540.39, yet very accessible since it's possible to find it on many markets, and there are about 5.5K units of Scorched in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched in CS2 ranges from a minimum wear of 0.06 to a battle-scarred of 0.80, so the skin is available in all possible exterior variants. In addition, every exterior variant has its StatTrak version available for Scorched to let players count their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M9 Bayonet | Scorched received over 11,000 votes at addskins.gg with an average of 4.5 out of five stars. It is also owned by the pro CS2 player stavros, which adds popularity to both gamers and collectors.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M9 Bayonet | Scorched has a painstaking spray-paint design over a stencil pattern in various shades of gray. The pattern index affects the visual weight of the Scorched skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1 130 (-6.42%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 305 (8.07%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.