MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.9 500050 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 33
+31.13%
Last month
$ 33
+31.13%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 115
-10.91%
In a quarter
$ 121
-6.26%
In half a year
$ 151
+16.98%
In a year
$ 257
+99.1%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
77 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Case Hardened inspecting MAC-10 | Case Hardened reloading MAC-10 | Case Hardened holding MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-1 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-2 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 139
  • 24h price change: 14.88%
  • 7 days low: $ 106
  • 7 days high: $ 303
  • 7 days price change: 31.13%
  • 30 days low: $ 106
  • 30 days high: $ 1 436
  • 30 days price change: 31.13%
  • 90 days low: $ 106
  • 90 days high: $ 1 436
  • Year low: $ 67.81
  • Year high: $ 20 493
  • All time low: $ 67.81
  • All time high: $ 20 493
  • All time max offers: 141
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 23
  • Sales for last 90 days: 47
  • All time sales: 144
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 6.41
  • Volatility: 8.99%
  • Liquidity: 8.79%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 115
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.91%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 121
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.26%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 151
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 16.98%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 257
  • Price forecast change in a year: 99.1%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 110
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 110
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 125
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 110
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

History

History

The skin of MAC-10 | Case Hardened Factory New became a part of CS: GO on September 21st, 2021, and is one of the most desired. This particular skin was available only through the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, released with the "Operation Riptide" update; adding its spice of rarity and desirability to this weapon's skin.

Origin

Origin

The MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) was a rare drop during the Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, and the Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package crates. It is also part of the 2021 Dust 2 Collection, with its exclusive and intricate blue pattern on the surface of the weapon itself.

Popularity

Popularity

Such allows the MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) to become one of the most popular items in the CS2 community, having an amazing popularity rating of 90%. Actually, it keeps high sales volume all the time and enjoys a very high price in the market, hence confidently joining the rank of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The Case Hardened skin of the MAC-10 | Case Hardened in Factory New condition is one out of a total of 237 SMG skins and is, therefore, not so common among players. Among the rarity classes, it falls into the Restricted class and counts for rare drops; it has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MAC-10 | Case Hardened Factory New in CS2 falls in the range of 0.00 to 1.00, so this skin is available in every exterior. A souvenir version is also available for each and every exterior, so the collectors will have a special variation of the Case Hardened.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Case Hardened MAC-10 has gained a significant interest in the community, having more than 500 votes on addskins.gg and reaching an outstanding average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional CS2 players owning this skin, including fer, rain, and sdy.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MAC-10 dons an exquisite "Case Hardened" finish, seemingly out of an extensive patina process. The pattern index is highly influential in the appearance, creating a truly captivating mix of bright blues with subtle hints of gold, similar to case hardening in real life.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 115 (-10.91%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 121 (-6.26%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 151 (16.98%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 257 (99.1%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players