MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)

4.5 140 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.35
+5.04%
Last month
$ 12.31
+77.71%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 15.17
-43.73%
In a quarter
$ 68.83
+155.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
77% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
449 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Derailment inspecting MAC-10 | Derailment reloading MAC-10 | Derailment holding MAC-10 | Derailment pose-1 MAC-10 | Derailment pose-2 MAC-10 | Derailment pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 28.15
  • 24h price change: 5.04%
  • 7 days low: $ 26.8
  • 7 days high: $ 164
  • 7 days price change: 5.04%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.84
  • 30 days high: $ 3 266
  • 30 days price change: 77.71%
  • 90 days low: $ 12
  • 90 days high: $ 3 266
  • Year low: $ 9.2
  • Year high: $ 3 266
  • All time low: $ 9.2
  • All time high: $ 3 266
  • All time max offers: 1460
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 20
  • Sales for last 7 days: 179
  • Sales for last 30 days: 866
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1904
  • All time sales: 4615
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 2.08
  • Volatility: 16.83%
  • Liquidity: 19.39%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 15.17
  • Price forecast change in a month: -43.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 68.83
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 155.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 13.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.97
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.6
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 20.5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.5
70.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 22.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 22.04
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 13.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.35
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.97
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.6
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.3
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.55
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 20.5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.5
70.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 22.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 22.04
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 20.68
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 30.12
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 36.73
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 24.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 29.57
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.5
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 34.04
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition is a compact submachine gun known for its rapid rate of fire, offset by its limited accuracy and significant recoil. This weapon features a unique custom paint job depicting an exploding train car, adding a dynamic and eye-catching aesthetic to its design.

History

History

The MAC-10 | Derailment was added to CS2's arsenal a month ago, on February 15th, 2025. It made its debut in the game through the "Urban Warfare" collection update.

Origin

Origin

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition is a rare skin that cannot be unboxed from any cases in CS2. It is exclusively available as part of The Train 2025 Collection, making it a sought-after item among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition is highly sought after in the CS2 community, indicating its strong appeal among players. This popularity measurement is derived from its consistent demand in the market and its stable pricing trends.

Rarity

Rarity

The MAC-10 | Derailment is one of 278 other SMG skins available in CS2. With a rarity classification of Restricted, the Derailment is considered a relatively uncommon drop, estimated to have a drop chance of around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $1.97 and $9.99, the MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition offers an affordable option for CS:GO players. This skin is readily accessible and can be found on various online platforms, making it easy to acquire for those interested.

Versions

Versions

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition boasts a pristine float value between 0.00 and 0.07, ensuring a flawless appearance in all exteriors. Unfortunately, there are no StatTrak or Souvenir iterations of the Derailment skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Factory New condition has garnered significant community approval with over 136 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin has also found its way into the inventories of professional CS2 players such as jl, phzy, and staehr, further solidifying its popularity among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

This MAC-10 showcases the Derailment finish in a "Factory New" style, boasting a sleek and pristine appearance. The finish is applied uniformly across the CS2 model, creating a seamless and polished look for the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 15.17 (-43.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 68.83 (155.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players