MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn)

4.5 140 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ -0.01
-0.3257%
Last month
$ 0.43
+16.35%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.29
+7.17%
In a quarter
$ 4.4
+43.32%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
78% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
159 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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CSGO.COM
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24 offers
from $ 3.9
Avan.Market
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15 offers
from $ 3.9
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26 offers
from $ 4.05
Inspect skin
MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Derailment inspecting MAC-10 | Derailment reloading MAC-10 | Derailment holding MAC-10 | Derailment pose-1 MAC-10 | Derailment pose-2 MAC-10 | Derailment pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.06
  • 24h price change: -0.3257%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.07
  • 7 days high: $ 8.43
  • 7 days price change: -0.3257%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.63
  • 30 days high: $ 12.12
  • 30 days price change: 16.35%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.63
  • 90 days high: $ 22.61
  • Year low: $ 2.38
  • Year high: $ 22.72
  • All time low: $ 2.38
  • All time high: $ 22.72
  • All time max offers: 188
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 92
  • Sales for last 30 days: 333
  • Sales for last 90 days: 705
  • All time sales: 1688
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4574
  • Volatility: 27.75%
  • Liquidity: 28.87%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.29
  • Price forecast change in a month: 7.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.4
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 43.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
📉 Sell
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 3.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 3.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.76
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 4.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.37
9.84%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.59
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
8.36%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.13
4.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.92
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
📉 Sell
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 3.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 4.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 3.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.76
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 4.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.37
9.84%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.59
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
8.36%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.13
4.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.8
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 10.35
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) is a compact SMG known for its rapid rate of fire, but suffers from wide bullet spread and significant recoil. This particular variant features a custom paint job depicting an exploding train car, adding a unique visual touch to the weapon.

History

History

The MAC-10 | Derailment was added to CS2's arsenal a month ago, on February 15th, 2025. It made its debut in the game through the "Urban Warfare" collection update.

Origin

Origin

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Well-Worn condition is a skin that cannot be acquired through case openings but is instead part of The Train 2025 Collection in CS2. Its design draws inspiration from the industrial aesthetics of railway tracks and train components, giving it a rugged and weathered appearance that reflects a sense of gritty urban warfare.

Popularity

Popularity

The MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) is highly sought after in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 95%. Its widespread appeal is evident through its frequent sales and consistent pricing trends within the game's marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The MAC-10 | Derailment is among 278 other SMG skins available in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Restricted, positioning the Derailment as a relatively uncommon find with an approximate drop rate of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $1.97 and $9.99, the MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) offers an affordable option for CS2 players. Its wide availability across various markets makes it easily accessible for purchase.

Versions

Versions

The MAC-10 | Derailment in Well-Worn condition has a float value between 0.38 and 0.45, giving it a worn appearance with noticeable scratches and wear. This skin does not have StatTrak or Souvenir versions, making it a straightforward choice for players looking for a battle-scarred look.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) has garnered a significant amount of attention within the CS2 community, amassing over 136 votes on addskins.gg with an impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. This skin has found favor with notable professional CS2 players, including jl, phzy, and staehr, further solidifying its popularity and appeal among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) features a weathered appearance with a unique "Derailment" finish. This finish incorporates a blend of patina and custom paint styles, creating a distinctive look that remains consistent across various pattern indexes. The skin is designed to complement the new CS2 model, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MAC-10 | Derailment (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 3.29 (7.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.4 (43.32%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players