MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)

4.6 8300 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.09
+5.96%
Last month
$ 0.51
+46.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.54
-4.94%
In a quarter
$ 1.24
-23.46%
In half a year
$ 1.46
-9.88%
In a year
$ 2.51
+54.94%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
74% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
516 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator inspecting MAC-10 | Lapis Gator reloading MAC-10 | Lapis Gator holding MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-1 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-2 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.6
  • 24h price change: 2.56%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.51
  • 7 days high: $ 45.1
  • 7 days price change: 5.96%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.09
  • 30 days high: $ 121
  • 30 days price change: 46.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.84
  • 90 days high: $ 121
  • Year low: $ 0.56
  • Year high: $ 202
  • All time low: $ 0.48
  • All time high: $ 203
  • All time max offers: 766
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 51
  • Sales for last 7 days: 379
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1693
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3898
  • All time sales: 11233
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0654
  • Volatility: 11.16%
  • Liquidity: 10.35%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.54
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.94%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.24
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -23.46%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.46
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -9.88%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.51
  • Price forecast change in a year: 54.94%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.28
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
29.29%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.11
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.1
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.99
89.19%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.26
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.26
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 1.8
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.93
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.28
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
29.29%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.11
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.1
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.99
89.19%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.26
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.26
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 1.8
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.28
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.36
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
74%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator Factory New is a compact, light submachine gun that unloads an intimidating hail of bullets, sacrificing accuracy and control for its high volume of fire. The hydrographic design brings a striking alligator skin pattern, adding some boldness to the already fearsome look of this workhorse.

History

History

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator was added to the CS2 weapon pool on February 17th, 2016. It was an addition in the Operation Wildfire Case. This unique skin was designed by the talented community artist "Sun_R," and it quickly became a sought-after item among players for its intricate lapis lazuli-inspired pattern and factory new condition.

Origin

Origin

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator can be acquired via opening one of the extremely popular Operation Wildfire Case containers. Part of The Wildfire Collection, this skin sports a particularly striking design from a lapis lazuli alligator, with both ferocity and grace mixed into its design.

Popularity

Popularity

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator boasts an amazing popularity rating of 85% and confidently reaches the top of the most in-demand goods in CS2. This honorable status is dictated by a detailed examination of daily sales volumes of the skin and its price, which eventually sets it among the favorites of players.

Rarity

Rarity

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator-one of 237 other SMG skins-is a relatively common drop. It boasts a drop chance of approximately 79.92%, making this skin a Mil-Spec Grade rarity item.

Versions

Versions

Float range for MAC-10 | Lapis Gator in Factory New is from 0.00 to 0.50, which means players will be able to get this skin in any exterior quality. Collectors can also get a StatTrak version of the Lapis Gator in every available exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The attention the Lapis Gator MAC-10 gained within the CS2 community is more than 8.2K votes in addskins.gg, and its average rating is as high as 4.6 out of 5 stars, what basically means extreme satisfaction of users. Besides, it is popular not only among ordinary users but also pro-players, such as fallen, adren, and spunj, having added this skin to their armory.

Finish style

Finish style

The style of the MAC-10 | Lapis Gator Factory New in CS2 is "multicolored anodized", showing off the skin's unusual Lapis Gator finish. A multi-color candy coat is applied, worked out by means of silk-screening or use of adherable stencils. When put to the main colored finish, it gives a striking blue tint. The pattern index is just something that defines the skin of the Lapis Gator.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.54 (-4.94%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.24 (-23.46%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.46 (-9.88%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.51 (54.94%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players