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10 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The battle-scarred MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly first dropped into the virtual battlefields of CS2 on September 21st, 2021. It was given to the player community as an exciting release in the "Operation Riptide" update to breathe new life into the classic MP5-SD.
It is a rare skin, and the only way to get an MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is by acquiring one through 2021 Train Collection and adding an autumn twist to your CS2 arsenal. A worn, battle-scarred exterior adds a sense of grit and history that makes this skin a treasured find for collectors and players alike.
The Autumn Twilly is one of the most popular skins in CS2, and with an outstanding popularity rating of 85%, it easily holds a place in the top 15% of the most wanted items, judged by its steady sales volume every day and current market price.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Battle-Scarred) has a Restricted rarity classification and is one of the 237 other SMG skins that are available in CS2. This skin is relatively rare, as it is estimated to drop with an approximate chance of only 15.98%.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Battle-Scarred) is a rather cheap skin, as its price floats in the interval between $1.58 and $4.43. Currently, this skin is available in lots of markets, which means it's easy for players to get it. There are 226.6K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories, which makes it quite popular among players.
Float Value: The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Battle-Scarred) has a float value of 0.58-0.80, which gives it a heavily worn appearance and well-marked scratches and abrasions. The disadvantage of this skin is that there is no StatTrak or Souvenir version, which makes it less collectible.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly has accumulated a rather positive community sentiment. It has a 4.4 out of 5-star rating of more than 497 votes on addskins.gg. The fact that this skin is owned by the well-known professional CS2 player pashabiceps is evidence of its popularity.
This worn-out MP5-SD is sporting an Autumn Twilly Hydrographic finish. The skin dunks selected parts into a water tank where a hydrographic film on the surface comes in contact with the parts, forming a patterned upper layer on the skin that may look different given the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 6.46 (-3.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 6.84 (1.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.42 (25.3%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 19.55 (191.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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